Q1-FY24 · Sanjay Agarwal
We want to pivot our liability strategy more towards our products and services and our brand pull rather than interest rates alone.
AU Small Finance Bank · tone and specificity signals across the available quarters.
Language signals
We want to pivot our liability strategy more towards our products and services and our brand pull rather than interest rates alone.
Our fixed-rate retail book will be advantageous once interest rate reversal start, as we have seen in past cycles.
I strongly believe that AU has remained in some of their last period in the last six years, also around north of 2% ROA and ROA around 16%.
We really want to be more safe than aggressive there.
Our core endeavor remain raising low cost, stable retail deposits with high customer engagement.
I think the market, the intensity has gone down because the rate has gone up.
We reiterate our guidance of achieving 1.8% ROA for FY27.
Q2 should be the bottom for NIM and we should start seeing gradual improvements in margins from Q3 onwards assuming no further rate cuts.
Banking franchise require at least 10 years to get stable, stronger, and scalable.
I strongly believe we remain on course in our business in terms of deposit growth, asset growth, people, and technology, and are putting our best foot forward to handle challenges, uncertainties due to macroeconomic environment.
This is just not a merger of two entities. It is a union of shared values, common goals, and a vision for the future.
I can assure you that, again, AU will build one of the... We'll try to build or we'll try to show that, you know, this integration, this M&A can be so different from the previous ones, you know?
Our underperformance in asset quality was offset by sustained growth in other income and improved cost income ratio.
We need to see one more quarter to really assess the real impact of this whole free lapses, you know, and so that is one thing.
The roadmap to maybe 55% in the next couple of years or maybe three to four years is now there.
Q2 marks the bottoming out of the current cycle, with growth staying strong in core businesses, unsecured book beginning to stabilize, uptake in margins, and commencement of reduction in credit costs.
The agenda is not to degrow or grow some book on some basis... We are having a very clear agenda that growth has to come back.
Our growth will happen through market share rather than market growth.
Our focus has been steady first on every parameter needed to build a sustainable and complete bank.
I don't really have a choice in terms of the pace at which they are getting built up. If I want to build my liability franchise, then I need to offer these products.
Give us time till 2027, have a slightly long-term view, because if you really want to build a retail franchise in India, you will need to do everything that is needed to be done.
We got a few things wrong, which included not getting digital underwriting correct, higher reliance on card-for-card sourcing, and issuing higher credit limits.
This is not an event risk. This is more about over-leverage and maybe irrational lending to that sector. A lot much has been arrested in the last two quarters.
Our cost to income has to go around 55% in the next two years. And it has to be based on a best-case basis because there are quite many things we don't control as we move forward.
We have the potential to deliver a 1.8% kind of ROA on a very sustainable basis. Give us four, five more quarters for us to just get our initial investments done.
The MFI recovery is a very, very broad-based recovery. It is not in the one lender's book. If you look at the MFIN data, it would reveal that it is across the industry.
We are building a bank engineered for scale, intelligence, and long-term sustainability. Over the past eight years, we have consistently and strategically invested 8%-10% of our OPEX in our technology backbone.
We want to defend 1.6 ROA next year too.
The only factor outside our direct control is the elevated interest rate, and we don't anticipate a significant near-term reduction given the global headwinds.
We will continue to grow our balance sheet by maybe around 25% annually over the next three years.
We want to be very honest on our numbers so that it does not color, we don't want to get it colored by the whole aspect around it.
It takes about 10 years to build a bank. We have completed eight years, and we are confident that the foundations we are laying today will create a stronger and more sustainable AU tomorrow.
Microfinance business, again, a right business, maybe at the wrong time, but it's a very, I would say it's fulfilled our whole inclusive agenda of banking.
We are inducting AI in our core operating model, which can lead to a complete reimagination of our customer journeys and provide a sustainable operating leverage over the coming years.
I would advise anybody that you should actually build this quarter credit cost as an overall cost for next year... build it around 90 basis points or maybe in that range so that it allows franchise to have some kind of risk-taking capability.
Our nine-year-old journey has taught us that liability is a day-to-day business, right? We need to play every day.