Aluminium price inflation impacting margin percentage
Rising aluminium prices reduce EBITDA margin by ~30 bps due to denominator effect, though absolute EBITDA remains stable.
ASK Automotive · risk themes across the available quarters.
Bear-case history
Rising aluminium prices reduce EBITDA margin by ~30 bps due to denominator effect, though absolute EBITDA remains stable.
US and Mexico tariffs create uncertainty; exports in FY26 expected to be flat despite Ford order starting.
Government has not notified the draft ABS regulation; management declined to speculate on impact.
Customer has assured take-back by March end, but if delayed, the low-margin business may persist.