ASHOKLEY / guidance tracker

Keep management guidance in view.

Ashok Leyland · forward-looking guidance across the available source record.

Research layer active

Guidance tracker

What management said would happen.

Mid-single-digit domestic M&HCV industry growth in FY26

Management expects mid-single-digit growth for M&HCV and slightly higher for LCV, with H2 likely stronger due to low base and improving macro.

growth

Double-digit revenue growth in defense for FY26

Strong order book (₹1,000+ crore) and tender pipeline (₹2,000+ crore) support double-digit defense revenue growth for the full year.

revenue

Switch India EBITDA-positive in FY26

Switch India achieved PBT breakeven in Q1; management targets EBITDA-positive status for the full year.

margins

Fully-built bus capacity expansion to 1,650 units/month

Current capacity of 950 buses/month to be expanded to 1,650, including the new Lucknow plant operational from Q3 FY26.

capex

Industry growth to remain strong in FY27

Management expects the replacement cycle triggered by GST to sustain, with bulk buyers now joining retail buyers. FY27 should see good volume growth, though H1 may have a low base and H2 a high base.

growth

Price hikes of 60+ bps to offset commodity inflation

Management has started reducing discounts to recover ~60 bps of commodity cost impact, with further price increases possible if pressure persists.

margins

Switch India to be free cash flow positive by FY27

Switch India (EV subsidiary) is on track to achieve free cash flow positivity by FY27, with current order book of 1,350 units and positive EBITDA/PAT.

growth

No major capacity capex in next 2-3 years

Management sees no need for significant capacity expansion; only niche investments of ₹50-100 crore may be required.

capex

Capex of ₹750-1,000 crore for FY27

Capital expenditure for FY27 is planned at ₹750-1,000 crore, focused on new products and alternate powertrain technologies.

capex

Price hike of 1-1.5% effective April 1

A price increase of 1-1.5% was taken from April 1, 2026, to partially offset commodity cost inflation.

revenue

Battery pack production to start in Q2 FY27

Construction of the battery pack facility at Pille Pakam will begin in 8-10 weeks, with production start targeted for Q2 FY27.

expansion

Defense business to continue 20% growth

Management expects defense revenue to maintain ~20% growth trajectory, supported by a strong order book and pipeline.

growth