AFCONS / guidance tracker

Keep management guidance in view.

Afcons Infrastructure · forward-looking guidance across the available source record.

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Guidance tracker

What management said would happen.

FY26 revenue growth revised to 10%+

Management lowered revenue growth guidance from 20%+ to 10%+ due to delayed L1 conversions and payment issues in Jal Jeevan Mission.

revenue

Full-year EBITDA margin to exceed 11%

H1 EBITDA margin of 13% provides cushion; management expects full-year margin to be better than the 11% annual guidance.

margins

Order inflow target of ₹20,000 crore for FY26

Management reaffirmed achieving ₹20,000 crore order inflow, excluding Maharashtra L1 projects, driven by Croatia and other L1 conversions.

growth

Capex of ~₹1,100 crore for FY26

Capex includes TBM purchases for high-speed rail; some spend may spill into FY27 due to delayed consignments.

capex

Full-year order inflow target of ₹20,000 crore

Management confident of achieving ₹20,000 crore order inflow for FY26, with ~₹16,300 crore expected in Q4, including the Croatia rail project.

growth

Revenue growth of 5% for FY26

While 10% growth is still being worked on, 5% growth is definitely achievable, implying a strong Q4 execution ramp-up.

revenue

EBITDA margin guidance of 11%+ for FY26

9M EBITDA margin at 13.3% and Q3 at 14%; full-year margin expected to be better than the usual 11% guidance, barring unforeseen events.

margins

Capex of ₹1,100 crore for FY26 contingent on TBM clearance

Capex includes ₹700 crore for TBM for the bullet train project; if clearance is delayed, capex will be ~₹400 crore.

capex