Adani Power / Q4-FY25

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Positive2025-04-25Back to ADANIPOWER

Revenue

₹14,237 Cr

verified against source

Revenue YoY

5.3%

reported change

EBITDA

₹5,098 Cr

latest reported figure

Source

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record provenance

Actual signal trajectory

Where this quarter sits.

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EBITDA (₹ Cr)PositiveWatchNegative
8 actual records
Actual quarterly EBITDA (₹ Cr) trajectoryReported values plotted by quarter. Hover or focus a point for its quarter, value, and source sentiment.Q1 FY25: 6,290 · Positive source sentiment · 2024-07-30Q1 FY25Q2 FY25: 6,290 · Positive source sentiment · 2024-07-??Q2 FY25Q3 FY25: 4,786 · Watch source sentiment · 2025-01-31Q3 FY25Q4 FY25: 5,098 · Positive source sentiment · 2025-04-25Q4 FY25Q1 FY26: 5,744 · Positive source sentiment · 2025-08-01Q1 FY26Q2 FY26: 5,325 · Watch source sentiment · 2025-10-15Q2 FY26Q3 FY26: 4,636 · Watch source sentiment · 2026-01-20Q3 FY26Q4 FY26: 6,498 · Positive source sentiment · 2026-05-13Q4 FY266,4984,636
Values are taken from the available verified source records; sentiment color is a separate source-read indicator.

Quarter read

What the record says.

Adani Power reported Q4 FY25 revenue of INR 14,522 crore (+5.3% YoY) and EBITDA of INR 5,098 crore (-3.3% YoY), with EBITDA margin contracting 310 bps to 35.1% due to lower merchant realizations (INR 5.03/unit vs INR 6.17/unit last year). PAT declined 5.7% to INR 2,599 crore. Full-year power sales grew 20.7% to 95.9 BU, supported by 2,300 MW capacity addition and 91% plant availability. Management guided for INR 13,000 crore capex in FY26, with 11.2 GW of ultra-supercritical capacity under construction and first commissioning (Mahan 1,600 MW) expected by March 2027. The company plans to fund capex entirely through internal accruals, maintaining net debt/EBITDA at 1.4-1.5x. Key risks include merchant tariff volatility and Bangladesh receivables of ~$900 million, though collections are improving.

Colored figures show movement against the previous available record.

Guidance to track

  • The company plans to spend INR 13,000 crore on capital expenditure in FY2026 for its expansion projects.
  • The 1,600 MW Mahan expansion project is expected to be commissioned around March or April 2027.
  • Adani Power targets to increase its total capacity to 30,670 MW by 2030 through brownfield expansions.
  • Management stated that the entire capex plan will be funded from internal accruals without additional debt.

Risks flagged

  • Merchant realizations declined 18.5% YoY to INR 5.03/unit in Q4, and further weakness could impact profitability.
  • Gross outstanding from Bangladesh stands at ~$900 million; while collections are improving, geopolitical and payment risks remain.
  • The company plans INR 13,000 crore capex in FY26 and has placed orders for 11.2 GW; delays or cost overruns could strain returns.
  • Analyst raised concern about afternoon power prices falling to INR 0.10-0.50/unit; management mitigated by using bilateral contracts but residual day-ahead exposure remains.

Key quotes

  • We are not keeping the entire capacity for the day-ahead market. Most of the time, it is tying up through the bilateral contracts four months ahead, two months ahead, three months ahead, sometimes even six months or a year.
  • Our internal accruals will be sufficient to meet our CAPEX requirement.
  • There is no other company in the country which has the ability to contract assets without having financing.

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