ADANIGREEN / guidance tracker

Keep management guidance in view.

Adani Green Energy · forward-looking guidance across the available source record.

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Guidance tracker

What management said would happen.

45 GW renewable capacity by 2030

Target to achieve 45 GW operational capacity by 2030 through solar, wind, and hybrid solutions.

growth

2.8-3 GW capacity addition in FY24

Planned capacity addition for the current financial year, with financial closure for most projects already achieved.

growth

Solar project cost ex-BCD: ₹4.8-5 cr/MW

Capital cost for solar projects excluding basic customs duty is expected to be in this range.

capex

Wind project cost: ₹6.3-6.5 cr/MW

All-in capital cost for wind projects, including turbine and balance of system.

capex

6 GW capacity addition in FY25

Management guided for 6 GW of new capacity in FY25, including ~700 MW of wind.

growth

50 GW target by 2030

Reiterated 50 GW capacity target by 2030, including 5 GW of pumped storage.

growth

Portfolio borrowing cost to decline from 9.4%

CFO expects average portfolio interest rate to come down significantly from 9.4%, with new borrowings at 8.6%-8.9%.

other

15% merchant/C&I portfolio mix

Targeting 15% of portfolio from merchant and C&I sales by 2030.

revenue

5 GW capacity addition target for FY26

Management confirmed on track to add 5 GW this fiscal, with 1.6 GW already commissioned in Q1.

growth

50 GW target by 2030 remains fully funded

Capital management framework ensures growth is fully funded for the 50 GW target while maintaining credit discipline.

growth

25% of capacity to target C&I/merchant markets by FY30

Strategy to allocate a quarter of portfolio to merchant, C&I, and hybrid contracts, including data center demand.

expansion

FY2024 capacity addition of 2.8-3 GW

Management guided for 2.8 to 3 GW capacity addition in FY2024, with most commissioning in the second half. Funding is fully secured.

growth

45 GW target by 2030

Adani Green reiterated its target to reach 45 GW of renewable capacity by 2030, with a mix of solar, wind, pumped hydro, and batteries.

growth

Refinancing of RG-One bonds at similar cost

Management expects to refinance the $500 million RG-One bond through USD PP market at an effective cost similar to current AGEL Holdco cost of ~9.6%, with no material increase.

other

Pumped storage FID by end of FY2024

Management expects to take a final investment decision (FID) on a pumped storage project before the end of FY2024, with construction cycle of 27-33 months.

expansion

6 GW capacity addition in FY25

Management committed to adding 6 GW of renewable capacity in FY25, with one-third expected in Q3 and remainder by year-end.

growth

Run-rate EBITDA of INR 16,000 crore post 6 GW addition

After adding 6 GW, the company expects a run-rate EBITDA in excess of INR 16,000 crore on an installed base of 17 GW.

revenue

Minimum 6 GW annual run-rate going forward

Beyond FY25, the company plans a minimum run-rate of 6 GW per year for capacity additions.

growth

Google data center PPA commissioning in CY Q3 2025

The 61 MW PPA with Google is expected to start supplying power in calendar Q3 2025.

expansion

5 GW capacity addition in FY26

Management reaffirmed commitment to add 5 GW of renewable capacity in FY26, with 2.4 GW already commissioned in H1.

growth

CapEx of INR 30,000-35,000 crore annually for next 2 years

CFO guided CapEx in the range of INR 30,000-35,000 crore per year for FY27 and FY28, supporting similar capacity additions.

capex

50 GW capacity target by 2030

Management reiterated the long-term target of 50 GW operational capacity by 2030, with steady progress on Khavda and other projects.

growth

BESS strategy to be announced shortly

CEO indicated that a detailed strategy for battery energy storage systems (BESS) will be shared soon, with plans for large-scale deployment.

ai_strategy

Capacity addition of at least 2 GW in Q4 FY24

Management guided for at least 2 GW capacity addition in the next quarter (Q4 FY24), with a target of 2-2.5 GW.

growth

Execution capacity to exceed 5 GW from next year

The company aims to scale execution capacity to north of 5 GW from next fiscal year, up from the current ~2.5 GW.

growth

Pumped storage project implementation to start next fiscal year

Management confirmed that pumped storage project implementation will begin in the next financial year, with one project in advanced stages.

expansion

Merchant portfolio to reach low teens by end of decade

Merchant capacity is expected to grow to low teens (as a percentage of total portfolio) by 2030, from current 3-5%.

growth

FY25 capacity addition target of 5 GW

Company expects to add approximately 5 GW of new capacity in FY25, with 4.3 GW coming in Q4. Remaining ~1 GW delayed by 4-5 weeks into early Q1 FY26 due to monsoon and regulatory changes.

growth

50 GW target by 2030 maintained

Management reiterated the long-term strategic objective of reaching 50 GW operational capacity by 2030, with 85% long-term PPAs and 15% merchant/CNI.

growth

Next year capacity addition in 6-8 GW range

Management confirmed the guidance for next year's capacity addition remains in the 6-8 GW range, with plans to ramp up run rate.

growth

Run-rate EBITDA of ₹15,000 crore+ post FY25 additions

CFO indicated that after adding 5 GW in FY25, the run-rate EBITDA would exceed ₹15,000 crore.

margins

FY26 run-rate EBITDA of INR 17,000 crore

Management guided for FY26 run-rate EBITDA of INR 17,000 crore, including INR 1,000 crore other income, with power supply EBITDA at INR 16,000 crore.

revenue

CapEx of INR 35,000-40,000 crore next year

Management guided for CapEx in the range of INR 35,000-40,000 crore for the next fiscal year to support 50 GW target by 2030.

capex

Battery storage capacity to more than double next year

Management expects to commission 3.5 GWh battery storage this fiscal and more than double that capacity in the coming year.

expansion

50 GW operational capacity by 2030

Management reiterated target to achieve 50 GW operational renewable capacity by 2030, with 5.6 GW added in calendar 2025.

growth

FY25 capacity addition target of at least 6,000 MW

Management guided for greenfield capacity addition of at least 6,000 MW in FY25, with a run-rate of 6,000-8,000 MW per year going forward.

growth

2030 capacity target revised to 50 GW

Revised the 2030 renewable energy capacity target from 45 GW to 50 GW, with 100% funding locked in from debt and equity.

growth

Pumped hydro storage target of 5 GW by 2030

Targeting at least 5 GW of pumped hydro storage capacity by 2030, with first 500 MW project in Andhra Pradesh under construction and expected commissioning by FY27.

expansion

Merchant/C&I exposure to be ~10% of portfolio

Management indicated that merchant and C&I capacity will be about 10% of the portfolio mix, up from current ~5%.

revenue

5 GW capacity addition in FY26

Management targets adding 5 GW of operational capacity in FY2026, with a total CapEx of INR 31,000 crore.

growth

50 GW target by 2030 fully equity-funded

Post full conversion of warrants, equity funding for the 50 GW target is fully secured; debt funding is being arranged progressively.

expansion

Chitravathi PSP commissioning by September 2027

The 500 MW pumped storage plant at Chitravathi is expected to be commissioned by September 2027.

expansion

FY27 capacity addition of 4.5-5 GW

Management guided for 4.5-5 GW of new capacity in FY27, constrained by transmission evacuation availability.

growth

10 GWh battery storage commissioning in FY27

Plans to commission over 10 GWh of battery storage in FY27, with capital cost of ~INR 1.5 crore per MWh.

capex

More than 90% of new capacity tied to long-term PPAs

Going forward, over 90% of capacity additions will be under long-term PPAs, reversing the FY26 anomaly of high merchant exposure.

revenue

50 GW target by 2030 unchanged

Management reaffirmed the 50 GW target by 2030, with no current revision despite near-term constraints.

growth