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COFORGE Information Technology 17 Jan 2024

Coforge Ltd — Q3 FY24

Coforge reported a solid Q3 FY24 with organic CC revenue growth of 14.7% YTD and sequential growth of 1.8% CC, despite unusually high furloughs in BFS and a depressed demand environment.

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EBITDA Margin 18% +39bps
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2-Minute Summary

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Coforge reported a solid Q3 FY24 with organic CC revenue growth of 14.7% YTD and sequential growth of 1.8% CC, despite unusually high furloughs in BFS and a depressed demand environment. The firm signed 3 large deals, taking the 12-month executable order book to $974 million (+15.8% YoY). Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 39 bps sequentially to 18%, with PAT up 31.5% QoQ to INR 2,380 million. Management expects Q4 margins to improve sharply by 150-200 bps as furloughs reverse and new business ramps up. FY25 margins are guided higher, but revenue growth will be "clawed out" in a still-challenging macro. Key risk: persistent pricing pressure and flattish client budgets could limit growth acceleration.

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Risk Intelligence

Persistent pricing pressure in a competitive environment

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Quarter Snapshot

Organic YTD CC Revenue Growth 14.7%
+14.7pp YoY

Year-to-date organic constant currency revenue growth for the first nine months of FY24.

Order Intake $354M
+8th consecutive quarter >$300M

Quarterly order intake, eighth consecutive quarter above $300 million.

Executable Order Book (12-month) $974M
+15.8% YoY

Total value of locked orders over the next 12 months, up 15.8% year-on-year.

IT Services Attrition (LTM) 12.1%
-2.3pp YoY

Last twelve-month IT services attrition rate, indicating improved employee retention.

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Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance FY24 organic CC revenue growth to be at lower end of 13%-16% band

Management expects to deliver within the annual guidance range of 13%-16% organic constant currency revenue growth, likely near the lower end.

Top risk Persistent pricing pressure in a competitive environment

Management acknowledged that pricing pressure remains acute and has been ongoing for five quarters, with no near-term relief expected.

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