Britannia FY24 Annual Earnings Summary
3 quarters covered · ₹12,576 Cr revenue · ₹0 Cr PAT · 17.9% average EBITDA margin.
Quarter-by-quarter progression
Management promises made during the year
Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q2 FY24Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q2 FY24Risks flagged during the year
Rural growth has turned lower than urban, impacting overall volume growth. Management noted a clear slowdown in rural economy.
Q3 FY24 · highRegional competitors are gaining share by offering lower prices and higher trade margins, which could pressure Britannia's market share and profitability.
Q2 FY24 · mediumManagement flagged potential escalation in commodity prices due to Middle East and Russia-Ukraine conflicts, which could pressure margins.
Q2 FY24 · mediumRegional players are becoming active again as commodity prices soften, forcing Britannia to take pricing actions to stay within a competitive premium band.
Q3 FY24 · mediumRural consumption growth has slowed, and despite distribution expansion, rural growth is lagging urban, posing a risk to overall volume recovery.
Q3 FY24 · mediumGlobal uncertainties (Russia-Ukraine, Gaza) could lead to renewed inflation in key inputs like wheat, sugar, and palm oil, impacting margins.
Q4 FY24 · mediumRegional and small players are gaining share in biscuits, especially in organized trade, pressuring pricing power.
Q4 FY24 · mediumExpected 3-4% inflation in wheat and sugar may limit margin expansion despite cost efficiencies.
Q4 FY24 · mediumGDP growth is driven by capital formation, not consumption; demand recovery may be delayed.
Q2 FY24 · lowAfter three years of test marketing, management remains unsure about a national launch, citing intense competition and lack of clear differentiation.
Q3 FY24 · lowSequential price cuts of 2-3% could pressure revenue growth if volume growth does not accelerate as expected.
Q4 FY24 · lowThe 11-12 month project may face implementation challenges and upfront costs without immediate benefits.
What changed through the year
Q3 FY24 · Aspiration for double-digit volume growth
Management aims to return to double-digit volume growth, though not expected in the next quarter.
Q3 FY24 · Adjacent businesses to grow 50% faster than base
Non-biscuit categories (cakes, rusk, cheese, etc.) targeted to grow at least 50% faster than biscuits.
Q3 FY24 · Cheese business target of INR 1,000 crore in 5 years
Consumer cheese business aims to reach INR 1,000 crore in five years, driven by innovation and distribution.
Q3 FY24 · 19% EBITDA margin is peak; focus on profit growth via top line
Management indicated 19% EBITDA margin is aspirational peak; future focus on growing absolute profit through aggressive top-line growth.
Q4 FY24 · Target double-digit volume growth in H2 FY25
Management aims for double-digit volume growth post-elections and monsoon, driven by market recovery and RTM 2.0.
Q4 FY24 · Expect 3-4% inflation in commodities post-elections
Wheat and sugar are expected to be slightly inflationary, with overall inflation manageable at 3-4%.
Q4 FY24 · Adjacencies to grow at 1.5x biscuit growth
Adjacent businesses (non-biscuits) are targeted to grow at one and a half times the rate of the biscuit portfolio.
Q4 FY24 · RTM 2.0 pilot in H2 FY25, full rollout by FY26
Route-to-Market 2.0 project will pilot in H2 FY25 and take 11-12 months for full implementation.