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Britannia FY24 Annual Earnings Summary

4 quarters covered · ₹16,769 Cr revenue · ₹2,134 Cr PAT · 18.4% average EBITDA margin.

Total annual revenue: ₹16,769 Cr
Annual PAT: ₹2,134 Cr
Average margin: 18.4%
Promise delivery: 0%

Quarter-by-quarter progression

QuarterRevenuePATMarginSentiment
Q1 FY24₹4,011 Cr₹455 Cr15.6%neutral
Q2 FY24₹4,433 Cr₹586 Cr20.0%neutral
Q3 FY24₹4,256 Cr₹556 Cr19.0%neutral
Q4 FY24₹4,069 Cr₹537 Cr19.0%neutral

Management promises made during the year

A&P spend to remain at 3.5-4% of revenue

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q2 FY24
missed
Volume growth expected to recover through the year

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q2 FY24
missed

Risks flagged during the year

Q2 FY24 · high

Rural growth has turned lower than urban, impacting overall volume growth. Management noted a clear slowdown in rural economy.

Q3 FY24 · high

Regional competitors are gaining share by offering lower prices and higher trade margins, which could pressure Britannia's market share and profitability.

Q1 FY24 · medium

Local players have gained market share by offering aggressive pricing and schemes, particularly in biscuits and rusk categories.

Q1 FY24 · medium

Flour prices have seen low single-digit inflation and could rise further due to poor production, potentially pressuring margins.

Q1 FY24 · medium

Rural markets and traditional trade have been sluggish, impacting volume growth; recovery timeline uncertain.

Q1 FY24 · medium

Price reversals of 1.8% and increased A&P spend have compressed margins sequentially; further price cuts could weigh on profitability.

Q2 FY24 · medium

Management flagged potential escalation in commodity prices due to Middle East and Russia-Ukraine conflicts, which could pressure margins.

Q2 FY24 · medium

Regional players are becoming active again as commodity prices soften, forcing Britannia to take pricing actions to stay within a competitive premium band.

Q3 FY24 · medium

Rural consumption growth has slowed, and despite distribution expansion, rural growth is lagging urban, posing a risk to overall volume recovery.

Q3 FY24 · medium

Global uncertainties (Russia-Ukraine, Gaza) could lead to renewed inflation in key inputs like wheat, sugar, and palm oil, impacting margins.

Q4 FY24 · medium

Regional and small players are gaining share in biscuits, especially in organized trade, pressuring pricing power.

Q4 FY24 · medium

Expected 3-4% inflation in wheat and sugar may limit margin expansion despite cost efficiencies.

What changed through the year

G

Q1 FY24 · Capex of INR 400-450 crore for FY24

Capital expenditure for FY24 expected to be around INR 400-450 crore, primarily for ongoing factory expansions in Ranjangaon, Bihar, and Orissa.

G

Q1 FY24 · A&P spend to remain at 3.5-4% of revenue

Advertising and sales promotion spend will stay around 3.5-4% of revenue, normalized post-COVID.

G

Q1 FY24 · Volume growth expected to recover through the year

Management expects volume growth to improve as pricing actions annualize and market conditions normalize, with high single-digit volume growth possible.

G

Q3 FY24 · Aspiration for double-digit volume growth

Management aims to return to double-digit volume growth, though not expected in the next quarter.

G

Q3 FY24 · Adjacent businesses to grow 50% faster than base

Non-biscuit categories (cakes, rusk, cheese, etc.) targeted to grow at least 50% faster than biscuits.

G

Q3 FY24 · Cheese business target of INR 1,000 crore in 5 years

Consumer cheese business aims to reach INR 1,000 crore in five years, driven by innovation and distribution.

G

Q3 FY24 · 19% EBITDA margin is peak; focus on profit growth via top line

Management indicated 19% EBITDA margin is aspirational peak; future focus on growing absolute profit through aggressive top-line growth.

G

Q4 FY24 · Target double-digit volume growth in H2 FY25

Management aims for double-digit volume growth post-elections and monsoon, driven by market recovery and RTM 2.0.

G

Q4 FY24 · Expect 3-4% inflation in commodities post-elections

Wheat and sugar are expected to be slightly inflationary, with overall inflation manageable at 3-4%.

G

Q4 FY24 · Adjacencies to grow at 1.5x biscuit growth

Adjacent businesses (non-biscuits) are targeted to grow at one and a half times the rate of the biscuit portfolio.

G

Q4 FY24 · RTM 2.0 pilot in H2 FY25, full rollout by FY26

Route-to-Market 2.0 project will pilot in H2 FY25 and take 11-12 months for full implementation.