Bajaj Housing Finance FY26 Annual Earnings Summary
3 quarters covered · ₹0 Cr revenue · ₹1,977 Cr PAT · 0.0% average EBITDA margin.
Quarter-by-quarter progression
Management promises made during the year
Promise tracking available after 2+ quarters of coverage.
Risks flagged during the year
Home loan attrition rose to 21-22% annualized from 15-16% last year, driven by aggressive pricing from PSU banks, which could pressure AUM growth.
Q3 FY26 · highBT out on home loan portfolio is ~20%, with 60-70% of prepayments attributed to balance transfers. This pressure is expected to persist until interest rates stabilize.
Q4 FY26 · highIf money market rates remain high and the RBI does not hike policy rates, the company's ability to pass on higher funding costs to customers will be limited, compressing spreads.
Q2 FY26 · mediumManagement guided for 15-20 bps NIM compression in FY26, with further pressure from expected December rate cut and competitive pricing, especially in home loans.
Q2 FY26 · mediumWhile management is scaling affordable housing cautiously, the segment inherently carries higher credit risk, which could increase credit costs if not managed well.
Q3 FY26 · mediumRBI's consolidated circular removed an illustration allowing capital relief on undisbursed tranches of under-construction home loans and construction finance, leading to a sharper Tier 1 decline. Clarity is awaited.
Q3 FY26 · mediumCompetitive intensity from PSU banks on pricing remains high in prime and super-prime segments, pressuring spreads and acquisition costs.
Q3 FY26 · mediumIf home loan growth remains subdued relative to non-HL growth, higher assignment may be needed to manage PBC, which could compress NIMs further.
Q4 FY26 · mediumAggressive pricing by banks, especially PSU banks, kept BT-out rates elevated in Q4 FY26, and if this persists, home loan growth and margins could be pressured.
Q4 FY26 · mediumThe IHL ratio (regulatory definition of home loans as % of total assets) has been contracting and stood at 50.45%, close to the 50% minimum, requiring careful management to avoid regulatory breach.
Q2 FY26 · lowBajaj Finance holds 88% stake; regulatory requirement to reduce to 75% by September 2029 may lead to equity dilution, but management provided no clear timeline or plan.
What changed through the year
Q2 FY26 · NIM compression of 15-20 bps for FY26
Management expects net interest margin to compress by 15-20 bps year-on-year due to yield pressure from competition and rate cuts, partially offset by cost of fund benefits.
Q2 FY26 · AUM growth to normalize by FY27
Management expects AUM growth to return to medium-term guidance levels in FY27 as attrition pressures stabilize with rate stabilization.
Q2 FY26 · Opex to NTI target of 14-16% in 3-4 years
Management reiterated its aspiration to reduce opex to net total income ratio to 14-16% over a 3-4 year horizon, driven by income expansion and cost efficiency.
Q2 FY26 · Leverage ratio target of 7-8x in 2-2.5 years
Management expects to achieve a gearing ratio of 7-8x within 2-2.5 years, supported by growth and capital management.
Q3 FY26 · NIM compression of 8-10 bps for FY26 vs FY25
Net interest margin expected to compress by 8-10 basis points for the full year FY26 compared to FY25, driven by assignment mix and attrition.
Q3 FY26 · Medium-term cost-to-income ratio target of 14-15% in 3-4 years
Management targets reducing cost-to-income ratio to 14-15% over the next 3-4 years, driven by operating leverage and efficiency improvements.
Q3 FY26 · SBU monthly disbursement run rate of ₹600+ crore in 12-15 months
The near-prime and affordable housing SBU aims to double its monthly disbursement run rate from ₹325-350 crore to over ₹600 crore within 12-15 months.
Q3 FY26 · Medium-term AUM growth guidance of 24-26%
Management reiterated medium-term (3-4 year) AUM growth guidance of 24-26%, contingent on stabilization of attrition and industry growth of 12-14%.
Q4 FY26 · FY27 ROA towards upper end of 2.0-2.2% medium-term range
Management expects ROA to be at the upper end of the medium-term guidance, with margin compression offset by opex efficiencies and lower credit costs.
Q4 FY26 · Sambhav monthly disbursements to reach ₹600 crore+ in 12 months
Sambhav housing loans are on track to achieve monthly disbursements of ₹600 crore or more over the next 12 months.
Q4 FY26 · Q1 FY27 NIM likely sideways with slight compression for full year
Net interest margin in Q1 FY27 is expected to be broadly stable vs Q4 FY26, but full-year compression of ~10 bps is anticipated due to portfolio repricing.