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AXISBANK Banking 30 Oct 2025

Axis Bank Ltd — Q2 FY26

Axis Bank reported a steady Q2 FY26 with PAT of INR 5,090 crore, though net interest margin declined to 3.73% due to rate cuts.

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✓ Verified against BSE filing

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Axis Bank reported a steady Q2 FY26 with PAT of INR 5,090 crore, though net interest margin declined to 3.73% due to rate cuts. Advances grew 12% YoY and deposits 11% YoY, with market share gains. Credit card portfolio crossed 15 million cards and UPI market share exceeded 35%. Asset quality showed stabilization in unsecured retail, with gross slippages declining sequentially. A one-time standard asset provision of INR 1,231 crore was made for discontinued crop loan variants, which is non-cash and reversible. Management guided NIM to bottom in Q3 and reiterated medium-term advances growth of 300 bps above industry. Key risk: further one-off regulatory provisions could emerge, as seen this quarter.

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Quarter Snapshot

Credit cards in force 15M
+1M QoQ

Card issuances increased to over 1 million in the quarter, crossing 15 million total cards.

UPI market share 35%+
flat

Axis Bank maintains leadership as top UPI payee by value and volume.

Gross slippage ratio declined 102 bps QoQ
-102 bps QoQ

Gross slippages fell to INR 5,696 crore, with ratio improving sequentially.

CET1 ratio 14.43%
+31 bps YoY

Capital position remains strong, with net accretion of 31 bps YoY.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q2 FY26 vs Q1 FY26
3 new guidance3 dropped4 new risk3 risk resolved
NEW
NIM to bottom in Q3 FY26

Assuming no further rate cuts, net interest margin is expected to bottom in Q3, with through-cycle stance at 3.8%.

NEW
Advances growth 300 bps above industry in medium term

Over 3-5 years with FY26 as base, advances are expected to grow 300 bps faster than industry.

NEW
One-time standard asset provision of INR 1,231 crore to reverse by March 2028

The provision is static and will be written back when loans are closed or by 31 March 2028, whichever is earlier.

DROPPED
Advances growth 300bps faster than industry

Management expects the bank's loan growth to outpace industry average by 300 basis points in the medium term (3-5 years with FY26 as base).

DROPPED
NIM of 3.8% on a two-cycle basis

The bank targets a net interest margin of 3.8% over a two-cycle period starting from the last rate cut, with margins expected to follow an inverted C trajectory.

DROPPED
No further policy changes unless regulation changes

Management confirmed that the technical recognition changes are a one-time adjustment and no further policy changes are expected unless regulatory norms change.

NEW RISK
Further one-off regulatory provisions

Management acknowledged past one-offs and cannot guarantee no future regulatory surprises, despite conservative stance.

NEW RISK
Margin pressure from rate cuts

NIM declined 7 bps QoQ to 3.73%; further rate cuts could delay margin bottoming beyond Q3.

NEW RISK
Government deposit compression

Government deposit balances continue to decline due to efficiency improvements, with no timeline for offset.

NEW RISK
ECL transition impact on capital

While initial assessment shows negligible impact, final circular could require higher provisions if PDs are elevated.

RISK GONE
Elevated credit costs from technical impact

Credit costs rose to 1.38% (1.09% adjusted) due to technical recognition changes, and management declined to provide FY26 guidance, leaving uncertainty on normalization pace.

RISK GONE
NIM compression from repo rate cuts

Full impact of 75bps repo rate cut will flow through in Q2 FY26, pressuring NIM further, with management only guiding on a two-cycle basis rather than quarterly.

RISK GONE
Retail asset quality normalization timeline

Despite improving early indicators, management has not called a peak in personal loan slippages, and elevated retail slippages may persist longer than expected.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Deposit growth to remain a key constraint in short term

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q2 FY25, Q3 FY25

Deposit growth will be a key constraint for advances growth in the short to medium term, given regulatory focus on CD ratio.

Elevated retail slippages from unsecured portfolio

Mentioned in Q2 FY25, Q3 FY25

Retail slippages, largely from unsecured products, have increased 40-45 bps YoY. Management expects corrective actions to help but does not call a peak.

Impact of RBI draft circular on subsidiaries

Mentioned in Q2 FY25, Q3 FY25

RBI draft circular restricts subsidiaries from doing overlapping business. Bank is evaluating implications; uncertainty remains.

LCR pressure from new draft norms

Mentioned in Q2 FY25, Q3 FY25

Current LCR of 115% may fall closer to 100% under proposed norms. Bank has tools but final guidelines are awaited.

Personal loan asset quality normalization may take longer

Mentioned in Q1 FY26, Q4 FY25

Despite improving early indicators, management has not called a peak in personal loan slippages, and elevated retail slippages may persist longer than expected.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance NIM to bottom in Q3 FY26

Assuming no further rate cuts, net interest margin is expected to bottom in Q3, with through-cycle stance at 3.8%.

Top risk Further one-off regulatory provisions

Management acknowledged past one-offs and cannot guarantee no future regulatory surprises, despite conservative stance.

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