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ATGL Diversified 01 Aug 2025

Adani Total Gas Limited — Q1 FY26

Adani Total Gas reported a strong Q1 FY26 with revenue of INR 1,491 crore (+21% YoY) and EBITDA of INR 301 crore, driven by 16% volume growth to 267 MMSCM.

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Revenue ₹1,379 Cr +21%
EBITDA ₹301 Cr
PAT ₹165 Cr
EBITDA Margin 21%
Duration
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✓ Verified against BSE filing

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Adani Total Gas reported a strong Q1 FY26 with revenue of INR 1,491 crore (+21% YoY) and EBITDA of INR 301 crore, driven by 16% volume growth to 267 MMSCM. CNG volumes surged 21% to 1.5 BSCM, while PNG grew 6%. The company added 650 CNG stations and 1M domestic connections. Management highlighted calibrated pricing despite higher gas costs due to lower APM allocation. Guidance includes CapEx of INR 900-1,000 crore for FY26 and INR 3,500-3,700 crore over three years, focusing on 11th round GAs. A potential positive from the proposed two-zone gas tariff could reduce costs. Risk: propane substitution and solid fuels may cap PNG industrial growth.

Promises1 met · 0 missedRisks3 trackedTranscriptfull text
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Risk Intelligence

APM gas allocation uncertainty

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Quarter Snapshot

CNG Volume Growth 1.5 BSCM
+21% YoY

CNG volume grew 21% year-on-year to 1.5 billion standard cubic meters.

Total Volume 267 MMSCM
+16% YoY

Total gas volume increased 16% year-on-year to 267 million standard cubic meters.

CNG Station Count 650
+124 stations (CODO/DODO)

CNG station network expanded to 650, with 124 in CODO/DODO format.

Domestic PNG Connections ~1M
+27,000 homes QoQ

Served nearly 1 million domestic PNG connections, adding 27,000 in the quarter.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q1 FY26 vs Q4 FY25
1 new guidance3 new risk4 risk resolved
NEW
CapEx of INR 3,500-3,700 crore over three years

Over the next three years, CapEx is planned at INR 3,500-3,700 crore, focused on 11th round GAs and CNG stations.

UPDATED
CapEx of INR 900-1,000 crore for FY26

Management guided CapEx of INR 900-1,000 crore for the current fiscal year, primarily for network expansion.

UPDATED
Double-digit CNG volume growth expected

Management expects to maintain double-digit growth in CNG volumes, driven by infrastructure expansion and OEM tie-ups.

NEW RISK
APM gas allocation uncertainty

Lower APM allocation (now ~36% for CNG) replaced by costlier gas, pressuring margins if not passed through.

NEW RISK
Propane and solid fuel competition for PNG industrial

Analyst raised concern about PNG industrial volume growth (only 5% YoY) due to cheaper alternatives like propane and coal.

NEW RISK
Zonal tariff revision uncertainty

Management deflected quantification of savings from proposed two-zone tariff, pending PNGRB notification.

RISK GONE
Further APM allocation cuts

APM allocation for CNG dropped to 37% in Q4; further cuts could increase gas costs and compress margins.

RISK GONE
Margin pressure from higher-cost gas

Reliance on new well gas and HPHT gas at higher prices may erode profitability if APM allocation remains low.

RISK GONE
Slow EV utilization ramp-up

B2C EV charging utilization is only 1.5-2%, and overall EV ecosystem development may take longer than expected.

RISK GONE
Consolidation risk in CGD sector

Management noted consolidation may be 18-24 months away, but volatility in APM could accelerate it, impacting competitive dynamics.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

EV charging points target of 3,000 by March-April 2025

Mentioned in Q2 FY25, Q3 FY25

Aim to reach around 3,000 EV charging points by March to April 2025, up from 1,914 currently.

Margin compression from higher gas costs

Mentioned in Q2 FY25, Q4 FY25

Reliance on new well gas and HPHT gas at higher prices may erode profitability if APM allocation remains low.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance CapEx of INR 900-1,000 crore for FY26

Management guided CapEx of INR 900-1,000 crore for the current fiscal year, primarily for network expansion.

Top risk APM gas allocation uncertainty

Lower APM allocation (now ~36% for CNG) replaced by costlier gas, pressuring margins if not passed through.

View Risks →