Allied Blenders and Distillers FY26 Annual Earnings Summary
3 quarters covered · ₹3,042 Cr revenue · ₹165 Cr PAT · 14.6% average EBITDA margin.
Quarter-by-quarter progression
Management promises made during the year
Promise tracking available after 2+ quarters of coverage.
Risks flagged during the year
Total dues from Telangana government ~₹700 crore; only ₹100 crore received in October. No clear timeline for full recovery.
Q3 FY26 · highPolicy-driven price changes in Maharashtra have impacted consumer affordability and buying behavior, leading to a high double-digit volume decline in the state. Management expects the market to remain at lower levels in Q4.
Q2 FY26 · mediumRetail licensing changes in Telangana caused a 5% degrowth in mass premium segment; pipeline correction expected to normalize by Q3.
Q2 FY26 · mediumMaharashtra's MML policy led to 20% decline in IMFL volumes; impact on ABD's mass premium segment is being assessed.
Q2 FY26 · mediumIconic White contributes >50% of PNA volumes; any slowdown could materially impact overall growth.
Q3 FY26 · mediumThe retail license auction process in Telangana caused a 6-8 week disruption in Q3, impacting mass-premium volumes. While normalization is expected in Q4, any delay could affect growth.
Q3 FY26 · mediumWith Imperial Blue's new owner, competition may intensify. Management has proactively strengthened trade and consumer programs, but the impact remains uncertain.
Q3 FY26 · mediumThe India-UK FTA, expected to add 200 bps to margins, may be delayed beyond Q2 FY27, as the UK parliament has yet to approve it.
Q4 FY26 · mediumWest Asia war and rising glass/fuel costs may pressure margins in H1 FY27, as acknowledged by management.
Q4 FY26 · mediumWhile a price increase is expected, the timing is uncertain; management plans conservatively for H2, but any delay could impact margin recovery.
Q4 FY26 · mediumLarge capex projects (ENA, malt, bottling) may face delays or cost overruns, impacting margin expansion timelines.
Q4 FY26 · lowIconic White's rapid growth may cannibalize sales of OC Blue and Sterling Reserve B7, though management sees aggregate market share gains.
What changed through the year
Q2 FY26 · PNA mix target of 50% by FY28
Management targets PNA segment to reach 50% of sales by FY28; currently at 47.1%, may revise guidance upward.
Q2 FY26 · International footprint to reach 35 countries by FY26
Company expanded from 14 to 30 countries in 18 months and targets 35 countries by end of FY26.
Q2 FY26 · Single malt launch in 2029
Single malt distillery in Rangapur to start production in Q4 FY26; first single malt whiskey expected in 2029.
Q2 FY26 · Capex of ~₹527 crore over three years
Total capex of ₹527 crore: 25% spent in FY25, 60% in FY26, 15% in FY27. PET plant already operational.
Q3 FY26 · Double-digit revenue growth in Q4 FY26
Management expects double-digit revenue growth in Q4 FY26, driven by Telangana normalization, new brand launches, and ABD Maestro portfolio scaling.
Q3 FY26 · EBITDA margin target of 17-18% by FY28
EBITDA margin guidance of 17-18% by FY28, backed by 300 bps gross margin expansion from backward integration and potential 200 bps from India-UK FTA.
Q3 FY26 · ABD Maestro revenue to double in Q4 FY26 and double again in FY27
ABD Maestro portfolio run rate of ₹40 crore in Q3 is expected to double to ₹80 crore in Q4 and double again in FY27.
Q3 FY26 · Capex of ₹700 crore announced for backward integration
Total capex commitment of ₹700 crore, including phase 1 (₹550 crore) and phase 2 (₹150 crore), with projects expected to be operational by Q3-Q4 FY27.
Q4 FY26 · Mid-teens topline growth in FY27
Consolidated revenue growth expected in mid-to-high teens, driven by PNA (high teens) and mass premium (low-to-mid single digit).
Q4 FY26 · EBITDA margin to hold at FY26 level in FY27
Management expects FY27 EBITDA margin to be broadly in line with FY26's 14.4%, with H1 pressure from geopolitical costs offset by H2 benefits from UK FTA, Telangana price hike, and backward integration.
Q4 FY26 · 300 bps gross margin expansion by FY28 from backward integration
Phase 1 backward integration projects expected to contribute ~300 bps to EBITDA margin by FY28, with an additional ~100 bps from Phase 2 by FY29.
Q4 FY26 · ABD Maestro to cross ₹100 crore revenue in FY27
The luxury portfolio ABD Maestro is expected to achieve annual revenue of ₹100 crore or more in FY27, with a path to CM3 neutrality in three years.