Affle 3i FY26 Annual Earnings Summary
3 quarters covered · ₹2,089 Cr revenue · ₹354 Cr PAT · 22.4% average EBITDA margin.
Quarter-by-quarter progression
Management promises made during the year
Promise tracking available after 2+ quarters of coverage.
Risks flagged during the year
Real money gaming vertical continues to face regulatory and operational challenges, impacting ad budgets. Management expects carry-forward effect into Q3.
Q3 FY26 · mediumManagement noted that global geopolitical tensions could cause advertisers to pull back spending, affecting Q4 and beyond.
Q3 FY26 · mediumData and inventory costs rose as a percentage of revenue due to investments in verticalization for international markets; management expects this to continue for a few more quarters.
Q4 FY26 · mediumGross margins have declined from ~39% to ~36% over recent quarters due to investments in premium inventory and verticalization, which may continue to pressure near-term margins.
Q4 FY26 · mediumManagement acknowledged temporary softness in select markets due to geopolitical events, which could impact growth if conditions worsen.
Q4 FY26 · mediumManagement is pursuing multiple acquisition targets; integration and transformation to CPCU model may take time and could dilute near-term financials.
Q2 FY26 · lowSome US advertisers deferred budgets from Q2 to Q3 due to tariff-related uncertainty, though pipeline remains strong.
Q2 FY26 · lowAdditional provisioning for trade receivables in RMG vertical impacted PBT by ~0.5%, with ongoing assessment required.
Q3 FY26 · lowThe RMG ban resulted in a ~INR 10-12 crore revenue loss in Q3 compared to base, though offset by broad-based growth.
Q3 FY26 · lowOCF/PAT ratio fell to 75.8% due to agency audits; management expects normalization but any delay could affect cash flows.
What changed through the year
Q2 FY26 · Sustained ~20% revenue growth
Management reaffirmed ability to deliver ~20% YoY revenue growth despite RMG and US budget rollover headwinds.
Q2 FY26 · Continued margin expansion
EBITDA margin expansion expected to continue, supported by operating leverage and AI-driven cost efficiencies.
Q2 FY26 · Active M&A pipeline of ~10 companies
Management is evaluating ~10 acquisition targets with a focus on tech and platform synergies, aiming for one deal per year.
Q3 FY26 · Revenue growth target of 18-20%
Management expects revenue growth in the 18-20% range, with EBITDA growth of 23-25% and margin expansion.
Q3 FY26 · EBITDA growth to outpace revenue
Internal KPIs target combined revenue and EBITDA growth of ~45%, with EBITDA growth faster than revenue.
Q3 FY26 · One meaningful acquisition in 2026
Management shortlisted 4 targets from 12 and expects to close a sizeable acquisition in 2026, following historical playbook.
Q3 FY26 · Q4 revenue likely flattish to slightly down vs Q3
Normal seasonality suggests Q3 is peak; Q4 may see slight dip but could surprise positively if geopolitical conditions remain stable.
Q4 FY26 · Medium-term organic growth of 20%+ CAGR
Management reiterated its medium-term guidance of 20%+ organic CAGR, underpinned by AI investments and verticalization.
Q4 FY26 · EBITDA margin target of 23-25% over time
Management guided towards EBITDA margins of 23-25% over a period of time, up from current ~22.3%.
Q4 FY26 · Meaningful M&A transaction within calendar 2026
Management expects to conclude a meaningfully sized acquisition within calendar 2026, funded by the INR 11B warrant issue.