Aditya Birla Capital FY26 Annual Earnings Summary
3 quarters covered · ₹25,514 Cr revenue · ₹2,983 Cr PAT · 0.0% average EBITDA margin.
Quarter-by-quarter progression
Management promises made during the year
Promise tracking available after 2+ quarters of coverage.
Risks flagged during the year
Small-ticket unsecured MSME loans (1.3% of portfolio) show elevated stress with GNPA at 5.4%, though management is cautious and has tightened underwriting.
Q1 FY26 · mediumNet interest margin including fees fell to 5.97% as higher-yielding unsecured segments were curtailed; recovery depends on growth in personal/consumer loans.
Q3 FY26 · mediumDespite favorable mix shift towards unsecured lending, management indicated it will take a couple of quarters for yields to improve at the portfolio level, potentially delaying NIM expansion.
Q3 FY26 · mediumAnalysts raised concerns about potential ECL model changes after a peer increased provisions; management downplayed the need, but regulatory nudges could alter provisioning requirements.
Q3 FY26 · mediumLife insurance margins face headwinds from GST changes; only 40% of the impact has been mitigated via commercial arrangements, with the balance to be managed through product strategy.
Q4 FY26 · mediumHousing finance NIM compressed 6bps QoQ due to seasonality and competition; NBFC margins also saw slight compression from MTM losses.
Q4 FY26 · mediumAs unsecured portfolio grows, credit costs may rise from current low of 1.04% to guided 1.1-1.2%, potentially impacting ROA.
Q1 FY26 · lowAnalyst raised concern about balance transfer out in prime housing loans amid repo rate cuts; management acknowledged elevated foreclosures but expects balanced growth.
Q1 FY26 · lowGroup traditional fund premium declined 51% YoY strategically due to falling interest rates, impacting total premium and opex ratio.
Q3 FY26 · lowThe ₹2,750 crore capital infusion from Advent International is subject to CCI approval, expected by end of March 2026, but any delay could slow growth plans.
Q4 FY26 · lowManagement noted no material impact yet but remains watchful of geopolitical tensions in West Asia, which could affect asset quality.
Q4 FY26 · lowNegative operating variance in life insurance due to assumption changes ahead of IFRS transition; may persist in near term.
What changed through the year
Q1 FY26 · HFC ROA target of 2-2.2% over next 8 quarters
Management expects housing finance ROA to improve to 2-2.2% in the next 8 quarters, driven by operating leverage and scale.
Q1 FY26 · Life insurance net VNB margin expansion to 18%+ for FY26
Net VNB margin guidance of 18%+ for FY26, up from 7.5% in Q1, driven by product mix and rider attachments.
Q1 FY26 · Life insurance individual FYP CAGR of 20-25% for 3 years
Management targets 20-25% CAGR in individual first-year premium over the next three years, with absolute net VNB doubling.
Q1 FY26 · Credit cost expected to remain in similar range for FY26
NBFC credit cost of 1.3% in Q1 is expected to be maintained for the full year, reflecting stable asset quality.
Q3 FY26 · NBFC loan book to double in 3 years (~25% CAGR)
Management guided for NBFC AUM growth of 24-25% annually, aiming to double the loan book in three years.
Q3 FY26 · Life insurance individual FYP CAGR of 20%+ for 3 years
Life insurance business targets 20%+ CAGR in individual first year premium over the next three years, with VNB margin expansion to 18%+.
Q3 FY26 · NBFC ROA expansion to ~2.5% in 4-5 quarters
NBFC business aims to expand ROA to approximately 2.5% over the next four to five quarters, from current 2.25%.
Q3 FY26 · HFC ROA target of 2.1-2.2% to be achieved earlier than guided
Housing finance expects to reach its targeted ROA range of 2.1-2.2% ahead of the original 6-8 quarter timeline, given strong progress.
Q4 FY26 · NBFC ROA target of 2.5% by FY27
Management expects ROA to reach 2.5% by end of FY27, driven by margin expansion from product mix shift and stable credit costs.
Q4 FY26 · Housing finance ROA of 2.1-2.2% in FY27
Housing finance expects ROA in the range of 2.1-2.2% for FY27, supported by operating leverage and stable credit costs.
Q4 FY26 · Life insurance individual FYP CAGR of 20%+ over three years
Life insurance business targets a CAGR of over 20% in individual first year premium over the next three years.
Q4 FY26 · Housing finance AUM target of ₹1 lakh crore in 24-30 months
Housing finance aims to achieve AUM of ₹1 lakh crore within the next 24 to 30 months, driven by branch expansion and digital initiatives.