Adani Enterprises FY24 Annual Earnings Summary
4 quarters covered · ₹96,420 Cr revenue · ₹3,335 Cr PAT · 11.8% average EBITDA margin.
Quarter-by-quarter progression
Management promises made during the year
Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q2 FY24Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q3 FY24Risks flagged during the year
The favorable TDSAT order for GMR may set a precedent for Mumbai Airport, but the regulatory process could take time, delaying tariff increases.
Q1 FY24 · mediumManagement expects margins to stabilize or slightly decline as global module prices fall and competition increases.
Q1 FY24 · mediumThe board has approved raising up to INR 12,500 crore in equity, which could dilute existing shareholders.
Q2 FY24 · mediumManagement indicated that non-export margins will differ from export margins, implying potential compression as domestic sales increase.
Q2 FY24 · mediumNavi Mumbai airport and other projects face typical construction risks; any delays could impact cash flows.
Q3 FY24 · mediumGovernment policy thrust to reduce coal imports could impact IRM business, though management believes imports will remain above 150 MT.
Q3 FY24 · mediumCoal mining target of 40 MT by FY25 has faced delays due to lengthy approval processes; permissions now in place but execution risk remains.
Q4 FY24 · mediumINR 80,000 crore CapEx for FY25 across multiple greenfield projects may face delays or cost overruns.
Q4 FY24 · mediumAnalyst noted EBIT margins dipped to ~25% from 30%+ due to higher domestic sales; management guided 25-30% for 1.5-2 years.
Q4 FY24 · mediumManagement declined to give volume guidance for IRM business, citing demand-supply dynamics and contract mix.
Q1 FY24 · lowNo commercial mining volume expected in India this year; first coal from Dhiroli mine likely only next year.
Q2 FY24 · lowCoal trading volumes have declined in line with market trends, and full-year guidance is uncertain.
What changed through the year
Q1 FY24 · FY24 CapEx of $3.7 billion
Total capital expenditure for Adani Enterprises in FY24 is guided at $3.7 billion, with $1.1 billion for airports, $1.7 billion for roads, $300 million for green hydrogen, and $200 million for data centers.
Q1 FY24 · IRM volume to cross 17 MMT
IRM volumes are expected to exceed 17 million metric tons for FY24, subject to coal demand in India.
Q1 FY24 · Mining services target ~35 MMT
Mining services volume target for FY24 is approximately 35 million metric tons.
Q1 FY24 · Three road projects to complete in FY24
Three HAM road projects are expected to be completed within the current financial year.
Q2 FY24 · Navi Mumbai airport completion by end of calendar year 2024
The airport is 40-45% complete and on schedule to be finished by Q4 2024.
Q2 FY24 · Coal to PVC financial closure this fiscal year
Financial close for the coal-to-PVC project is expected within FY24.
Q2 FY24 · Copper smelter completion in Q1 CY2024
The copper project is on schedule to be completed in the first calendar quarter of 2024.
Q2 FY24 · Green hydrogen pilot plant commissioning by FY2027
The integrated green hydrogen ecosystem pilot plant is on schedule for FY2027.
Q3 FY24 · CapEx of ~INR 92,000 crore in FY25
Total CapEx across AEL's ecosystem expected to jump from ~INR 33,600 crore in FY24 to ~INR 92,000 crore in FY25, driven by green hydrogen and airports.
Q3 FY24 · Coal mining target of 40 MT by FY25
Management is confident of achieving 40 million tons of coal production in FY25, with all necessary permissions now in place.
Q3 FY24 · Solar module capacity to reach 4.5 GW by FY25 end
Solar module capacity expected to reach 4.5 GW by end of FY25, with Windtech at 1.5 GW.
Q3 FY24 · Green hydrogen first phase of 1 million ton
First phase of green hydrogen capacity is 1 million ton, with a modular approach; detailed outlook expected by September 2024.
Q4 FY24 · FY25 CapEx of INR 80,000 crore
Majority allocated to ANIL and airports (INR 50,000 crore), roads (INR 12,000 crore), PVC (INR 10,000 crore), and data centers (INR 5,000 crore).
Q4 FY24 · Net debt/EBITDA below 4x for FY25
Management targets leverage below 4x, with modular CapEx generating EBITDA as projects complete.
Q4 FY24 · Solar module volumes of 3.6-4 GW in FY25
Targeting 90% capacity utilization on 4 GW module capacity, with exports comprising ~70%.
Q4 FY24 · Copper plant to reach peak capacity of 500,000 tons by FY26
Kutch Copper will commission all units by end of FY25, achieving full capacity in FY26.