Aditya Birla Capital FY24 Annual Earnings Summary
4 quarters covered · ₹66,022 Cr revenue · ₹4,992 Cr PAT · 0.0% average EBITDA margin.
Quarter-by-quarter progression
Management promises made during the year
Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q2 FY24Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q2 FY24Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q3 FY24Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q4 FY24Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q4 FY24Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q4 FY24Risks flagged during the year
Health insurance combined ratio stood at 117% in Q1, indicating underwriting losses, though management expects normalization in coming quarters.
Q1 FY24 · mediumPersonal and consumer loans now constitute 20% of NBFC AUM and 36% of disbursements, with potential asset quality risks if economic conditions weaken.
Q1 FY24 · mediumManagement is evaluating FLDG arrangements with digital partners, but current credit costs sit on the balance sheet; any adverse regulatory changes could impact profitability.
Q2 FY24 · mediumIndustry-wide concerns about rising delinquencies in sub-INR 50,000 loans, though management reports stable portfolio with proactive tightening.
Q2 FY24 · mediumHFC yields declined sequentially due to competitive pressure and lag in cost of funds pass-through, though management expects stabilization.
Q2 FY24 · mediumLargest bank partner degrew due to strategic shift to subsidiary, partially offset by new bank tie-ups; execution risk remains.
Q3 FY24 · mediumCost of borrowing increased 7bps QoQ for NBFC and 5bps for HFC; further increases could pressure NIMs if competitive intensity limits pass-through.
Q3 FY24 · mediumRBI's increased risk weights on personal and consumer loans could impact growth and capital adequacy; NBFC CAR improved to 16.67% but remains a watch item.
Q3 FY24 · mediumBanks are increasingly competing in secured loans (mortgages, LAP), which could pressure yields and market share.
Q3 FY24 · mediumHealth insurance net loss widened to ₹270 crore in 9M FY24 from ₹217 crore YoY; profitability improvement depends on Q4 performance and sustained loss ratio control.
Q4 FY24 · mediumHFC ROE declined to 1.76% in Q4 from 1.92% in FY24, indicating NIM compression as the book grows with competitive pricing.
Q4 FY24 · mediumAnalyst raised concerns about rising GNPA in personal and consumer loans; management attributed it to denominator effect but acknowledged calibration in small-ticket unsecured loans.
What changed through the year
Q1 FY24 · Double lending book in 3 years
Management expects to double the combined NBFC and housing finance loan book over the next three years, implying ~25% CAGR.
Q1 FY24 · NBFC NIM expansion to 7.5% in 2-3 years
NBFC net interest margin is targeted to reach 7.5% over the next 2-3 years, driven by product mix shift towards retail and SME.
Q1 FY24 · Housing finance NIM range of 4.7%-5%
Housing finance NIM is expected to remain range-bound between 4.7% and 5% as cost of borrowings may increase.
Q1 FY24 · Life insurance net VNB margin improvement
Life insurance net VNB margin improved to 11.8% in Q1 from 2.5% last year, with continued focus on product mix and productivity.
Q2 FY24 · NBFC book to double in three years, ROA to 3%
Management reiterated guidance to double NBFC loan book in three years and improve ROA to 3% through product mix shift and margin improvement.
Q2 FY24 · Life insurance VNB margin of 23%+ for FY24
Kamlesh Rao guided for net VNB margin of 23%+ for full year FY24, consistent with last year's exit margin.
Q2 FY24 · Health insurance combined ratio to normalize in Q3
Mayank Bathwal expects combined ratio to normalize in Q3 FY24 as seasonality effects from group business growth subside.
Q3 FY24 · Double NBFC portfolio in three years
Management expressed confidence in doubling the NBFC loan portfolio over the next three years, leveraging Udyog Plus, ABG ecosystem, and branch expansion.
Q3 FY24 · D2C app launch in one month
The direct-to-consumer mobile app will go live in closed user group within one month, enabling new customer acquisition and holistic financial solutions.
Q3 FY24 · NBFC credit loss to remain at ~1.5%
Management expects total credit loss in the NBFC portfolio to remain at similar levels (1.5% in Q3) going forward.
Q3 FY24 · Health insurance profit in Q4, full-year loss lower than FY23
Health insurance expects a profit in Q4 and full-year FY24 loss to be lower than last year, with combined ratio improving.
Q4 FY24 · Double March 2023 loan portfolio by March 2026
Management remains confident of doubling the March 2023 NBFC loan portfolio by March 2026, implying a CAGR of ~26%.
Q4 FY24 · NBFC credit cost within 1.5%
Credit cost for NBFC businesses is guided to be contained within 1.5% going forward.
Q4 FY24 · Health insurance combined ratio of 100% by FY26
Health insurance business targets a combined ratio of 100% by FY2026, improving from 110% in FY24.
Q4 FY24 · Life insurance top-line CAGR >20% over 3 years
Life insurance business aims to grow top line at a CAGR of more than 20% over the next three years, with VNB margin in 18%-20% range.