Permanent shutdown of ~11-12M spindles reduced effective capacity from ~53M to 41-42M.
Vardhman Textiles — Q4 FY26
Vardhman Textiles reported a decent Q4 FY26 performance, with gross margins expanding ~300bps QoQ, though EBITDA margins were impacted by a one-time mark-to-market forex loss of ~₹57-58 crore.
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2-Min Summary
Vardhman Textiles reported a decent Q4 FY26 performance, with gross margins expanding ~300bps QoQ, though EBITDA margins were impacted by a one-time mark-to-market forex loss of ~₹57-58 crore. The key positive is a structural turnaround in the spinning industry: ~11-12 million spindles have permanently shut, reducing effective capacity to 41-42 million spindles from a potential 59-60 million. Simultaneously, demand has surged—China's monthly yarn imports from India jumped from 7-8 million kg to 30 million kg, and US tariffs removal has boosted home textile exports to near-full utilization. Cotton prices have aligned globally, with spreads improving from 60-65 cents to 90-95 cents per kg. Management expects Q1 FY27 to be significantly better as fabric price hikes lag and the forex loss reverses. Risk: Sustainability of current spreads depends on cotton prices and China demand; any reversal could pressure margins.
Key Numbers
China's demand surged due to Xinjiang cotton ban and Bangladesh order shifts.
Spread improved from worst levels due to higher yarn prices and rupee depreciation.
Post US tariff removal, home textile exporters returned to near-full capacity.
Management Guidance
Q1 FY27 performance expected to be significantly better
Management expects Q1 FY27 to reflect improved spreads and reversal of one-time forex loss, with fabric price hikes lagging by 2-3 months.
revenueModernization capex completion by H1 FY27
90% of spinning modernization completed; remaining 10% to be finished in next 6 months, improving cost and flexibility.
capexNew capex plans in MP PMRA park by Dec-Jan
Land likely allotted by Dec-Jan; drawing board stage, finalization expected in 2-3 months, subject to sustainability.
expansionPerformance fabric plant full utilization in 6-9 months
New performance fabric line commissioned; expects full utilization in 6-9 months as orders ramp up.
growthKey Risks
Cotton price volatility and spread sustainability
Current spreads of 90-95 cents may not sustain if cotton prices fall or China demand weakens; management unable to predict beyond 3 months.
high · analyst_questionDuty-free cotton import policy uncertainty
Industry's request for duty-free cotton imports to ensure competitive raw material is pending government decision; if denied, cost disadvantage may return.
high · management_commentaryFabric price hike lag and customer resistance
Fabric and garment segments face resistance to price increases; lag of 2-3 months could compress margins if yarn prices correct.
medium · management_commentaryGeopolitical disruptions and hedge fund speculation
Iran-US tensions and speculative money in cotton futures could cause sudden price swings, impacting input costs and demand.
medium · data_observationNotable Quotes
The good news is one the US tariffs were over. As a result of that India became more competitive.
Today there's hardly any disruption as far as the long-term in the cotton prices have been in this the relative to each other.
Most of the spinners from India in export market are sold for 3 months as of now.