SH
Shree Cement
Q4 FY26 · Manufacturing
Shree Cement delivered a strong Q4 FY26 with domestic cement sales volume up 11% YoY to 10.56 million tons, driven by a strategic shift to volume growth after narrowing the price gap with the top player by 15-20 rupees per bag. EBITDA rose 34% YoY to ₹1,212 crore, with EBITDA per ton improving to ₹1,125. Capacity utilization jumped to 66% from 56% in Q3. The company commissioned a 3.65 MTPA clinker and 3.5 MTPA cement plant in Karnataka, raising total capacity to 69.3 MTPA. Management guided for ~40 million tons cement volume in FY27 and capex of ₹1,500 crore. Key risks include Middle East conflict driving fuel cost inflation (expected ₹150-200/ton cost increase in Q1) and potential demand disruption from geopolitical tensions.
- Guidance read
- FY27 cement volume target of ~40 million tons: Management expects to achieve around 40 million tons of cement sales in FY27, implying ~10% growth over FY26. Capex guidance of ₹1,500 crore for FY27: Capital expenditure for FY27 is estimated at approximately ₹1,500 crore, primarily for RMC plants, railway sidings, and Meghalaya expansion. RMC plant count to reach 50-55 by FY27 end: The company plans to increase its RMC plant count from 26 to 50-55 by the end of FY27. UAE cement mill commissioning by September 2026: The 2.5 million ton cement mill at Union Cement UAE is scheduled to be commissioned by September 2026.
- Risk read
- Key risks include Fuel cost inflation from Middle East conflict — Geopolitical tensions have increased fuel costs; management expects a 10-12% rise in per kilo calorie cost in Q1 FY27, with potential further increases.; Packaging cost increase — Packaging costs have risen by ₹20/ton in Q4 and are expected to increase by another ₹80-100/ton in Q1 FY27 due to higher paper prices.; Demand slowdown from geopolitical tensions — The Middle East conflict has slowed sales in UAE, and management noted potential headwinds for the sector from geopolitical issues and monsoon conditions.; Meghalaya expansion incentives uncertain — Management has not yet received confirmed incentives from the Meghalaya government for the new plant, though the project is viable without them..
- Promise ledger
- Scorecard data is being built as historical quarters are processed.
UL
UltraTech Cement
Q4 FY26 · Manufacturing
UltraTech Cement delivered a strong Q4 FY26, with consolidated sales volumes crossing 44 million tons and PAT of ₹3,000 crore for the quarter. The company achieved 200 million tons of cement production capacity, a full year ahead of target, driven by disciplined organic growth and timely acquisitions. Brand migration for India Cements and Kesam was completed a quarter early, with India Cements' EBITDA per ton improving sequentially to ₹497. Management guided for sustainable volume growth of 7-8% and double-digit growth in FY27, with annual capex of ₹8,000-10,000 crore. Key risks include West Asia conflict-driven cost inflation (bags, fuel, forex) and potential demand slowdown from rising input costs across building materials.
- Guidance read
- Volume growth of 7-8% sustainable, double-digit in FY27: Management expects sustainable volume growth of 7-8% per annum, with FY27 targeting double-digit growth driven by structural demand. Annual capex of ₹8,000-10,000 crore for foreseeable future: Capex will continue at ₹8,000-10,000 crore per year for cement capacity expansion beyond 240 million tons. India Cements EBITDA per ton to exceed ₹1,000 by FY28: Cost improvement capex and price increases will drive India Cements' EBITDA per ton above ₹1,000 by end of FY28. Clinker conversion ratio target of 1.54x by FY28: Target to improve clinker conversion ratio to 1.54x by FY28, enhancing profitability through blended cement.
- Risk read
- Key risks include West Asia conflict driving input cost inflation — Rising fuel, bag, and freight costs due to the conflict could pressure margins; management noted a ₹90 crore impact on bags in March alone.; Forex volatility from rupee devaluation — Rupee devaluation led to a mark-to-market hit of ~₹130-140 per ton on foreign currency borrowings, impacting EBITDA.; Demand slowdown from rising building material costs — Steel, PVC, and other materials have become expensive, potentially affecting overall construction demand, though management sees no slowdown yet.; Legal hurdles delaying India Cements merger — Inherited legal cases may delay full integration of India Cements; management is cautious about risks to UltraTech's balance sheet..
- Promise ledger
- Scorecard data is being built as historical quarters are processed.