SH
Shree Cement
Q4 FY26 · Manufacturing
Shree Cement delivered a strong Q4 FY26 with domestic cement sales volume up 11% YoY to 10.56 million tons, driven by a strategic shift to volume growth after narrowing the price gap with the top player by 15-20 rupees per bag. EBITDA rose 34% YoY to ₹1,212 crore, with EBITDA per ton improving to ₹1,125. Capacity utilization jumped to 66% from 56% in Q3. The company commissioned a 3.65 MTPA clinker and 3.5 MTPA cement plant in Karnataka, raising total capacity to 69.3 MTPA. Management guided for ~40 million tons cement volume in FY27 and capex of ₹1,500 crore. Key risks include Middle East conflict driving fuel cost inflation (expected ₹150-200/ton cost increase in Q1) and potential demand disruption from geopolitical tensions.
- Guidance read
- FY27 cement volume target of ~40 million tons: Management expects to achieve around 40 million tons of cement sales in FY27, implying ~10% growth over FY26. Capex guidance of ₹1,500 crore for FY27: Capital expenditure for FY27 is estimated at approximately ₹1,500 crore, primarily for RMC plants, railway sidings, and Meghalaya expansion. RMC plant count to reach 50-55 by FY27 end: The company plans to increase its RMC plant count from 26 to 50-55 by the end of FY27. UAE cement mill commissioning by September 2026: The 2.5 million ton cement mill at Union Cement UAE is scheduled to be commissioned by September 2026.
- Risk read
- Key risks include Fuel cost inflation from Middle East conflict — Geopolitical tensions have increased fuel costs; management expects a 10-12% rise in per kilo calorie cost in Q1 FY27, with potential further increases.; Packaging cost increase — Packaging costs have risen by ₹20/ton in Q4 and are expected to increase by another ₹80-100/ton in Q1 FY27 due to higher paper prices.; Demand slowdown from geopolitical tensions — The Middle East conflict has slowed sales in UAE, and management noted potential headwinds for the sector from geopolitical issues and monsoon conditions.; Meghalaya expansion incentives uncertain — Management has not yet received confirmed incentives from the Meghalaya government for the new plant, though the project is viable without them..
- Promise ledger
- Scorecard data is being built as historical quarters are processed.
TA
Tata Chemicals
Q4 FY26 · Manufacturing
Tata Chemicals reported a weak Q4 FY26 with consolidated revenue down 2% YoY to ₹3,438 crore and EBITDA falling 16% to ₹274 crore, reflecting subdued soda ash prices globally and higher costs. The US business took a ₹1,837 crore goodwill impairment due to prolonged pricing pressure. Standalone revenue grew 3% to ₹1,254 crore on higher volumes, but EBITDA margin contracted. Management highlighted that Middle East conflict has driven up energy and shipping costs, though most cost increases have been passed on. Imports into India have halved, supporting domestic volumes. Capex for FY27 is guided at ₹1,300 crore, mainly maintenance, with debt expected to stay near ₹6,000 crore. The company is pivoting to non-soda ash businesses (up 14% YoY to ₹6,946 crore). Key risk: prolonged conflict could erode demand and further pressure margins.
- Guidance read
- FY27 capex of ₹1,300 crore: Capital expenditure for FY27 is guided at approximately ₹1,300 crore, primarily for maintenance and some growth projects in salt, silica, and Singapore. Debt to remain at similar levels: Net debt (ex leases) is expected to remain around ₹5,961 crore in FY27, similar to FY26 levels, due to ongoing business pressures. Non-soda ash revenue growth focus: Management reiterated focus on growing non-soda ash revenue, which grew 14% in FY26, as a strategic priority to improve margins.
- Risk read
- Key risks include Kenya HFO supply disruption — Kenyan unit depends on HFO from Middle East; only 40 days of supply available. Alternate sourcing is being worked on but availability risk is high.; Ammonia supply restriction in India — Government advised fertilizer units not to supply ammonia to non-fertilizer users. Tata Chemicals uses small quantities; supply is adequate for now but could become constrained.; Prolonged Middle East conflict could erode demand — While no demand erosion seen yet, a prolonged conflict could begin to weigh on demand, especially if customers face pressure.; Chinese inventory overhang — Chinese soda ash inventories remain high at 1.5-1.8 million tons, keeping global prices rangebound and limiting upside..
- Promise ledger
- Scorecard data is being built as historical quarters are processed.