SH
Shree Cement
Q4 FY26 · Manufacturing
Shree Cement delivered a strong Q4 FY26 with domestic cement sales volume up 11% YoY to 10.56 million tons, driven by a strategic shift to volume growth after narrowing the price gap with the top player by 15-20 rupees per bag. EBITDA rose 34% YoY to ₹1,212 crore, with EBITDA per ton improving to ₹1,125. Capacity utilization jumped to 66% from 56% in Q3. The company commissioned a 3.65 MTPA clinker and 3.5 MTPA cement plant in Karnataka, raising total capacity to 69.3 MTPA. Management guided for ~40 million tons cement volume in FY27 and capex of ₹1,500 crore. Key risks include Middle East conflict driving fuel cost inflation (expected ₹150-200/ton cost increase in Q1) and potential demand disruption from geopolitical tensions.
- Guidance read
- FY27 cement volume target of ~40 million tons: Management expects to achieve around 40 million tons of cement sales in FY27, implying ~10% growth over FY26. Capex guidance of ₹1,500 crore for FY27: Capital expenditure for FY27 is estimated at approximately ₹1,500 crore, primarily for RMC plants, railway sidings, and Meghalaya expansion. RMC plant count to reach 50-55 by FY27 end: The company plans to increase its RMC plant count from 26 to 50-55 by the end of FY27. UAE cement mill commissioning by September 2026: The 2.5 million ton cement mill at Union Cement UAE is scheduled to be commissioned by September 2026.
- Risk read
- Key risks include Fuel cost inflation from Middle East conflict — Geopolitical tensions have increased fuel costs; management expects a 10-12% rise in per kilo calorie cost in Q1 FY27, with potential further increases.; Packaging cost increase — Packaging costs have risen by ₹20/ton in Q4 and are expected to increase by another ₹80-100/ton in Q1 FY27 due to higher paper prices.; Demand slowdown from geopolitical tensions — The Middle East conflict has slowed sales in UAE, and management noted potential headwinds for the sector from geopolitical issues and monsoon conditions.; Meghalaya expansion incentives uncertain — Management has not yet received confirmed incentives from the Meghalaya government for the new plant, though the project is viable without them..
- Promise ledger
- Scorecard data is being built as historical quarters are processed.
KA
Kansai Nerolac Paints
Q4 FY26 · Manufacturing
Kansai Nerolac reported a 7.6% standalone revenue growth in Q4 FY26, with PBDIT up 21% YoY, driven by improved product mix in decorative and double-digit auto demand. Decorative growth was mid-single digit, with a focus on premium products and new launches like Excel Sheen and XL Everlast. Industrial grew in higher single digits, with auto strong but other segments moderate. Management guided for 13-14% EBITDA margin, assuming raw material stability, and has taken cumulative price hikes of high single digits in decorative. Risks include prolonged West Asia crisis, crude volatility, and rupee depreciation. The company remains cautious on demand visibility due to inflation but sees green shoots from the past five months.
- Guidance read
- EBITDA margin target of 13-14% for FY27: Management reiterated its endeavor to maintain EBITDA margin in the 13-14% range, assuming raw material costs stabilize. Cumulative decorative price hikes of high single digits: Price increases of ~2% in March and 5-6% in April/May, totaling high single digits, to offset input cost inflation. Double-digit growth target for performance coatings: Management aims to grow the performance coatings segment in double digits, driven by infrastructure spending.
- Risk read
- Key risks include West Asia crisis and supply chain disruptions — Geopolitical tensions have caused crude price surges and supply chain issues, impacting raw material costs and availability.; Rupee depreciation increasing import costs — Sharp rupee depreciation has raised the cost of imported raw materials, pressuring margins.; Demand visibility remains uncertain due to inflation — Management described demand visibility as 'wait and watch' given the inflationary scenario, with potential impact on consumption.; New competition may intensify price wars — Analyst raised concern about aggressive pricing by new entrants; management noted freebies may have been withdrawn but advertising intensity remains high..
- Promise ledger
- Scorecard data is being built as historical quarters are processed.