Risk Intelligence
Supply chain disruption from Middle East crisis
View Risks →Schaeffler India delivered a robust Q1 FY26 with revenue of ₹2,570 crore (+18.8% YoY) and EBITDA of ₹483 crore (19.3% margin).
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Schaeffler India delivered a robust Q1 FY26 with revenue of ₹2,570 crore (+18.8% YoY) and EBITDA of ₹483 crore (19.3% margin). Automotive technology led growth at 30.8% YoY, driven by strong ICE and hybrid demand, while exports surged 32.5% YoY on intercompany orders. Industrial bearings saw a planned recalibration due to pricing pressure and liquidity crunch in the aftermarket, leading to a 14.3% QoQ decline. Management guided for full-year export growth of 10-12% and capex of ₹400-500 crore. Key risk: supply chain disruptions from Middle East tensions and inability to fully pass on input cost inflation (6-18 month lag).
Supply chain disruption from Middle East crisis
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Read Transcript →Strong outperformance vs industry production growth of ~15%, driven by ICE, hybrid, and e-mobility portfolios.
Robust intercompany orders from Europe, Americas, and Southeast Asia; full-year outlook upgraded to 10-12%.
Overall localization reached 80%; industrial bearings at ~60%, with further room to improve.
Planned recalibration due to pricing pressure and liquidity crunch in aftermarket; capacity utilization remains above 80%.
Exports expected to grow 10-12% for CY26, driven by strong intercompany order book from multiple regions.
Input cost increases from Middle East crisis will be passed on over 6-18 months, with first batch from Q2 onwards.
Capital expenditure planned in the range of ₹400-500 crore, picking up from last year's rationalized level.
Export order book for 2026 is in line with 2025, but growth is expected to moderate to 5-10% due to economic conditions in Europe and Asia Pacific.
Management reiterated commitment to double-digit growth in the medium term, supported by strong pipeline and market demand.
Geopolitical tensions have choked fuel supply chains, increasing input costs; management has set up crisis teams but impact may persist.
Intensifying competition from local and MNC players is forcing recalibration of product portfolios, potentially impacting market share.
Distributor cash flow issues led to lower demand in industrial aftermarket; though seasonal, it could recur if economic conditions worsen.
Full recovery of input cost increases may take up to 18 months, pressuring margins in the interim if commodity prices remain elevated.
Management guided export growth to slow to 5-10% in CY26 from 30-35% in CY25, due to weaker European and Asia Pacific demand.
Analyst raised concern about a competitor's new SRB plant; management acknowledged competition but emphasized localization strategy.
KRSV's losses widened to 18.3% margin in Q4; management expects improvement in CY26 through channel and product mix optimization.
Exports expected to grow 10-12% for CY26, driven by strong intercompany order book from multiple regions.
Geopolitical tensions have choked fuel supply chains, increasing input costs; management has set up crisis teams but impact may persist.
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