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RELIANCE Conglomerate 19 Jan 2024

Reliance Industries Ltd — Q3 FY24

Reliance Industries delivered a strong Q3 FY24 with consolidated EBITDA of INR 44,700 crore (+17% YoY) and net profit of INR 19,641 crore (+11% YoY), driven by robust performance in Retail (EBITDA +31% YoY) and Oil & Gas (EBITDA +50% YoY).

bullish high
Revenue ₹2,48,000 Cr +3%
EBITDA ₹44,700 Cr +17%
PAT ₹19,641 Cr +11%
EBITDA Margin
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

Financial stats pending filing verification

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

Reliance Industries delivered a strong Q3 FY24 with consolidated EBITDA of INR 44,700 crore (+17% YoY) and net profit of INR 19,641 crore (+11% YoY), driven by robust performance in Retail (EBITDA +31% YoY) and Oil & Gas (EBITDA +50% YoY). Jio added 11.2 million net subscribers (total 471 million) with ARPU at INR 181.7, while 5G rollout completed pan-India with 90 million migrated users. Retail revenue crossed INR 83,000 crore (+23% YoY) with footfalls up 40%. O2C EBITDA was flat (+1%) despite a major maintenance shutdown and weak downstream margins. Management highlighted strong domestic demand and moderating capex (INR 30,000 crore in Q3 vs INR 39,000 crore in Q2). Key risk: downstream chemical margins remain pressured due to global oversupply and tepid China demand.

Key Numbers

Jio Subscriber Net Additions 11.2M
+11.2M QoQ

Highest net additions in several quarters, taking total subscriber base to 471 million.

Jio ARPU INR 181.7
+0.7% YoY

Slight increase due to subscriber mix, partially offset by free 5G trial usage.

Retail Footfalls Growth 40%
+40% YoY

Strong festive season drove record footfalls across formats.

KG-D6 Gas Production 30 MMscmd
+73% YoY

Ramp-up from MJ-1 field; now contributes 30% of India's domestic gas production.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q3 FY24 vs Q2 FY24
4 new guidance4 dropped4 new risk4 risk resolved
NEW
O2C margins to remain volatile but refining margins constructive

Management expects refining margins to remain favorable due to strong demand for jet fuel and gasoil, but downstream chemical margins pressured by global oversupply.

NEW
Retail margin expansion to continue via operating leverage

EBITDA margin improved 40 bps YoY to 8.1%; management expects further expansion as infrastructure investments pay off.

NEW
Capex moderation to continue

Q3 capex at INR 30,000 crore, down from INR 39,000 crore in Q2; cash profits now exceed capex, supporting deleveraging.

NEW
New energy facilities to commence in phases from end of FY24

On track to start new energy production facilities in phases starting end of this fiscal year.

DROPPED
5G rollout completion by end of FY24

Management expects the fast-track 5G rollout to be completed by end of this year, with CapEx peaking in FY24.

DROPPED
KG-D6 production target of 30 MMSCMD

KG-D6 gas production is on track to reach 30 million standard cubic meters per day, representing ~30% of India's gas output.

DROPPED
Jio AirFiber to accelerate home broadband

AirFiber fixed wireless service is being rolled out across India, targeting north of 100 million premises rapidly.

DROPPED
Retail EBITDA margin expansion expected

Retail EBITDA margin improved 70 bps YoY to 8.1%, with operating leverage expected to drive further gains.

NEW RISK
Downstream chemical margins under pressure

Polymer and PVC deltas declined 4-17% YoY due to global oversupply and weak China demand; management expects continued pressure.

NEW RISK
Jio ARPU stagnation due to free 5G trial

ARPU remained flat sequentially at INR 181.7 as free 5G data usage offsets mix improvement; monetization timeline uncertain.

NEW RISK
O2C plant maintenance shutdown impact

Major shutdown of CDU, coker, FCCU, and ROGC units reduced throughput and profitability; similar events could recur.

NEW RISK
Gas price ceiling reduction

Ceiling price for KG-D6 gas fell from $12.12 to $9.96/MMBtu, partially offsetting volume gains; further cuts possible.

RISK GONE
Global demand weakness impacting O2C margins

Weak global demand and excess supply in petrochemicals could pressure O2C margins, especially in PE and PP.

RISK GONE
Gas price volatility from winter severity

Gas prices are sensitive to winter severity; a mild winter could lower prices, impacting upstream earnings.

RISK GONE
Competitive pressure in telecom from 5G

Competitors' 5G rollouts, though less extensive, could intensify competition; Jio's net adds remain positive but market dynamics could shift.

RISK GONE
Retail store expansion execution risk

Rapid store expansion (471 new stores in Q2) may strain operational efficiency and working capital if demand softens.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

KG-D6 gas production target of 30 MMSCMD in FY24

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY24

KG-D6 gas production is on track to reach 30 million standard cubic meters per day, representing ~30% of India's gas output.

Management Guidance

G

O2C margins to remain volatile but refining margins constructive

Management expects refining margins to remain favorable due to strong demand for jet fuel and gasoil, but downstream chemical margins pressured by global oversupply.

Management guidance margins
G

Retail margin expansion to continue via operating leverage

EBITDA margin improved 40 bps YoY to 8.1%; management expects further expansion as infrastructure investments pay off.

Management guidance margins
G

Capex moderation to continue

Q3 capex at INR 30,000 crore, down from INR 39,000 crore in Q2; cash profits now exceed capex, supporting deleveraging.

Management guidance capex
G

New energy facilities to commence in phases from end of FY24

On track to start new energy production facilities in phases starting end of this fiscal year.

Management guidance expansion

Key Risks

R

Downstream chemical margins under pressure

Polymer and PVC deltas declined 4-17% YoY due to global oversupply and weak China demand; management expects continued pressure.

high · management_commentary
R

Jio ARPU stagnation due to free 5G trial

ARPU remained flat sequentially at INR 181.7 as free 5G data usage offsets mix improvement; monetization timeline uncertain.

medium · analyst_question
R

O2C plant maintenance shutdown impact

Major shutdown of CDU, coker, FCCU, and ROGC units reduced throughput and profitability; similar events could recur.

medium · management_commentary
R

Gas price ceiling reduction

Ceiling price for KG-D6 gas fell from $12.12 to $9.96/MMBtu, partially offsetting volume gains; further cuts possible.

medium · data_observation

Notable Quotes

We are one year, nearly one year, in fact, a shade over one year into the rollout of our True 5G services. As Srikanth alluded to in his opening remarks, nearly 90 million subscribers have already migrated to 5G on our network.
Kiran Thomas · President, Reliance Jio Infocomm
Our gross revenue crossed INR 83,000 crore, a revenue growth of 23% on a YoY basis. EBITDA grew at a healthy 31%, and came at INR 6,258 crore, while profit after tax grew 32%.
Dinesh Taluja · CFO, Reliance Retail
Overall, I think, cash flows remain strong, balance sheet remains strong, and, moderating CapEx, you may have seen that, CapEx in this quarter at about INR 30,000 crore is, significantly lower than the previous quarter, as well as what it was year-on-year.
Srikanth Venkatachari · CFO, Reliance Industries

Frequently Asked Questions

What was Reliance's revenue in Q3 FY24?

Reliance reported revenue of ₹2,48,000 Cr in Q3 FY24, representing a +3% change compared to the same quarter last year.

What guidance did Reliance management give for FY25?

O2C margins to remain volatile but refining margins constructive: Management expects refining margins to remain favorable due to strong demand for jet fuel and gasoil, but downstream chemical margins pressured by global oversupply. Retail margin expansion to continue via operating leverage: EBITDA margin improved 40 bps YoY to 8.1%; management expects further expansion as infrastructure investments pay off. Capex moderation to continue: Q3 capex at INR 30,000 crore, down from INR 39,000 crore in Q2; cash profits now exceed capex, supporting deleveraging. New energy facilities to commence in phases from end of FY24: On track to start new energy production facilities in phases starting end of this fiscal year.

What are the key risks for Reliance in FY25?

Key risks include Downstream chemical margins under pressure — Polymer and PVC deltas declined 4-17% YoY due to global oversupply and weak China demand; management expects continued pressure.; Jio ARPU stagnation due to free 5G trial — ARPU remained flat sequentially at INR 181.7 as free 5G data usage offsets mix improvement; monetization timeline uncertain.; O2C plant maintenance shutdown impact — Major shutdown of CDU, coker, FCCU, and ROGC units reduced throughput and profitability; similar events could recur.; Gas price ceiling reduction — Ceiling price for KG-D6 gas fell from $12.12 to $9.96/MMBtu, partially offsetting volume gains; further cuts possible..

Did Reliance meet its previous quarter's guidance?

Of 3 tracked promises, management 0 met, 0 close, 3 missed.

Where can I read the full Reliance Q3 FY24 concall transcript?

The full earnings conference call transcript or source release is available on the linked source material. This page provides an AI-generated summary with filing verification status shown on the financial stats.