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ONGC Diversified 05 Aug 2024

Ongc Ltd — Q1 FY25

ONGC reported a 15.1% YoY decline in standalone PAT to INR 8,938 crore for Q1 FY25, driven by lower natural gas realization, higher exploration write-offs (up INR 627 crore), and increased depletion costs.

neutral medium
Revenue
EBITDA
PAT ₹8,938 Cr -15.1%
EBITDA Margin
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

Financial stats pending filing verification

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

ONGC reported a 15.1% YoY decline in standalone PAT to INR 8,938 crore for Q1 FY25, driven by lower natural gas realization, higher exploration write-offs (up INR 627 crore), and increased depletion costs. Consolidated PAT fell 42.79% to INR 10,236 crore, impacted by HPCL and MRPL. Crude oil realization rose 10.4% to INR 6,928/bbl, but statutory levies surged 31% due to SAED. Management highlighted KG 98/2 ramp-up: oil production expected to reach 30,000 bpd by Q3 and 45,000 bpd peak, with gas at 6 MMSCMD by March 2025. Guidance includes 12% oil production growth over two years and 27% gas growth. Key risk: slower-than-expected ramp-up due to weather or operational delays.

Key Numbers

KG 98/2 Oil Production Rate 12,000 bpd
+0% vs prior quarter

Current oil production from KG 98/2 field; expected to reach 30,000 bpd by Q3 FY25.

KG 98/2 Gas Production Rate 0.4 MMSCMD
+0% vs prior quarter

Current gas production from KG 98/2; expected to reach 1.4 MMSCMD by August 2024.

Crude Oil Realization (USD) $83.05/bbl
+8.8% YoY

Billing net of VAT/CST for crude oil in Q1 FY25 vs $76.36/bbl in Q1 FY24.

Exploration Write-offs INR 1,643 crore
+61.7% YoY

Increase due to unsuccessful wells at Western Offshore and KG Basin.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q1 FY25 vs Q4 FY24
3 new guidance3 dropped4 new risk4 risk resolved
NEW
KG 98/2 oil production to reach 30,000 bpd by Q3 FY25

Management expects oil production from KG 98/2 to increase from current 12,000 bpd to 30,000 bpd by Q3 FY25, with peak of 45,000 bpd in subsequent quarters.

NEW
KG 98/2 gas production to reach 6 MMSCMD by March 2025

Gas production from KG 98/2 is expected to reach 6 million standard cubic meters per day by end of March 2025.

NEW
Standalone oil production target of 20.5 MMT for FY25

ONGC standalone oil production target for FY25 is 20.5 MMT, with JV contributing 1.71 MMT, totaling 22.3 MMT.

UPDATED
CapEx guidance of INR 32,000-33,000 crore for FY25 standalone

ONGC standalone CapEx for FY25 is planned at around INR 32,000-33,000 crore, excluding green energy investments.

DROPPED
KG-98/2 ramp-up: oil to 45,000 bopd, gas to 10 MMSCMD by Q4 FY25

Oil production to increase from 12,000 bopd to 20,000-30,000 bopd in Q3 FY25 and 45,000 bopd in Q4 FY25. Gas to reach 10 MMSCMD by Q4 FY25.

DROPPED
Production target of 47 MMtoe by FY27

Overall production to increase 20% to 47 MMtoe by FY27, with oil at 21.87 MMtoe and gas at 25.5 BCF.

DROPPED
OPaL restructuring expected to improve profitability in 1-2 years

Management expects OPaL to turn around in 1-2 years after equity infusion, feedstock resolution, and SEZ exit.

NEW RISK
Slower ramp-up of KG 98/2 due to weather

Management cited rough weather as a cause for slower production ramp-up; further delays could impact production targets.

NEW RISK
Windfall tax applicability on KG Basin oil

Analyst raised concern about windfall tax on KG Basin oil; management stated they do not anticipate it currently, but uncertainty remains.

NEW RISK
Mozambique project delays

TotalEnergies' Mozambique LNG project faces delays due to elections; OVL's CapEx may increase once force majeure is lifted.

NEW RISK
OPaL losses continue

OPaL reported PAT loss of INR 983 crore in Q1 FY25; restructuring awaits government clearance, posing downside risk.

RISK GONE
KG-98/2 ramp-up execution risk

Ramp-up to 45,000 bopd and 10 MMSCMD by Q4 FY25 depends on weather and installation timelines; delays could push targets.

RISK GONE
Windfall tax policy uncertainty

Windfall tax at $75/bbl cap may not be revised despite rising OpEx; management is engaging with government but no assurance.

RISK GONE
OPaL losses persist despite restructuring

OPaL reported negative EBITDA in FY24; turnaround depends on regulatory approvals and market conditions, which are uncertain.

RISK GONE
Natural decline in mature fields

Gas production declined 3% in Q4 due to 7-8% natural decline in mature fields; mitigation depends on new projects.

Management Guidance

G

KG 98/2 oil production to reach 30,000 bpd by Q3 FY25

Management expects oil production from KG 98/2 to increase from current 12,000 bpd to 30,000 bpd by Q3 FY25, with peak of 45,000 bpd in subsequent quarters.

Management guidance growth
G

KG 98/2 gas production to reach 6 MMSCMD by March 2025

Gas production from KG 98/2 is expected to reach 6 million standard cubic meters per day by end of March 2025.

Management guidance growth
G

Standalone oil production target of 20.5 MMT for FY25

ONGC standalone oil production target for FY25 is 20.5 MMT, with JV contributing 1.71 MMT, totaling 22.3 MMT.

Management guidance growth
G

CapEx guidance of INR 32,000-33,000 crore for FY25 standalone

ONGC standalone CapEx for FY25 is planned at around INR 32,000-33,000 crore, excluding green energy investments.

Management guidance capex

Key Risks

R

Slower ramp-up of KG 98/2 due to weather

Management cited rough weather as a cause for slower production ramp-up; further delays could impact production targets.

medium · management_commentary
R

Windfall tax applicability on KG Basin oil

Analyst raised concern about windfall tax on KG Basin oil; management stated they do not anticipate it currently, but uncertainty remains.

medium · analyst_question
R

Mozambique project delays

TotalEnergies' Mozambique LNG project faces delays due to elections; OVL's CapEx may increase once force majeure is lifted.

medium · management_commentary
R

OPaL losses continue

OPaL reported PAT loss of INR 983 crore in Q1 FY25; restructuring awaits government clearance, posing downside risk.

high · data_observation

Notable Quotes

Crude production has already commenced from KG 98/2. Hopefully, we would be better placed with oil in Q3 and gas in the quarters thereafter.
Vivek Tongaonkar · Director of Finance, ONGC
We are very confident that, yes, we will be able to ramp up the production that we have and achieve what we have mentioned during this year also.
Vivek Tongaonkar · Director of Finance, ONGC
The decline in production from matured fields will be compensated in upcoming quarters with commencement of additional production from upcoming projects.
Vivek Tongaonkar · Director of Finance, ONGC

Frequently Asked Questions

What was Ongc's revenue in Q1 FY25?

Ongc reported revenue of — in Q1 FY25, representing a — change compared to the same quarter last year.

What guidance did Ongc management give for FY26?

KG 98/2 oil production to reach 30,000 bpd by Q3 FY25: Management expects oil production from KG 98/2 to increase from current 12,000 bpd to 30,000 bpd by Q3 FY25, with peak of 45,000 bpd in subsequent quarters. KG 98/2 gas production to reach 6 MMSCMD by March 2025: Gas production from KG 98/2 is expected to reach 6 million standard cubic meters per day by end of March 2025. Standalone oil production target of 20.5 MMT for FY25: ONGC standalone oil production target for FY25 is 20.5 MMT, with JV contributing 1.71 MMT, totaling 22.3 MMT. CapEx guidance of INR 32,000-33,000 crore for FY25 standalone: ONGC standalone CapEx for FY25 is planned at around INR 32,000-33,000 crore, excluding green energy investments.

What are the key risks for Ongc in FY26?

Key risks include Slower ramp-up of KG 98/2 due to weather — Management cited rough weather as a cause for slower production ramp-up; further delays could impact production targets.; Windfall tax applicability on KG Basin oil — Analyst raised concern about windfall tax on KG Basin oil; management stated they do not anticipate it currently, but uncertainty remains.; Mozambique project delays — TotalEnergies' Mozambique LNG project faces delays due to elections; OVL's CapEx may increase once force majeure is lifted.; OPaL losses continue — OPaL reported PAT loss of INR 983 crore in Q1 FY25; restructuring awaits government clearance, posing downside risk..

Did Ongc meet its previous quarter's guidance?

Scorecard data is being built as historical quarters are processed.

Where can I read the full Ongc Q1 FY25 concall transcript?

The full earnings conference call transcript or source release is available on the linked source material. This page provides an AI-generated summary with filing verification status shown on the financial stats.