Ongc FY26 Annual Earnings Summary
3 quarters covered · ₹0 Cr revenue · ₹36,113 Cr PAT · 0.0% average EBITDA margin.
Quarter-by-quarter progression
Management promises made during the year
Promise tracking available after 2+ quarters of coverage.
Risks flagged during the year
KG Basin production ramp-up delayed from Q2 to Q4 FY26 due to unavailability of living quarter vessel and monsoon. Further delays could impact FY26 production targets.
Q1 FY26 · highCrude oil realization fell 20% YoY to INR 66.13/bbl. If prices remain low, standalone profitability could be further impacted.
Q2 FY26 · highOil production from KG 98/2 fell to 28,000 bpd from 30,000 bpd, and recovery depends on well interventions with uncertain timing.
Q2 FY26 · highStandalone PAT declined 17.8% YoY due to lower crude realizations; further price drops could pressure earnings.
Q3 FY26 · highCrude oil prices declined to $61.63/bbl in Q3 FY26 from $72.5/bbl a year ago, impacting revenue. Sustained low prices could pressure upstream margins.
Q1 FY26 · mediumOPaL has debt of INR 24,800 crore. While EBITDA turned positive, profitability depends on petrochemical cycle upturn. Management has no immediate plans to infuse equity.
Q1 FY26 · mediumOperating expenses rose 7.6% YoY due to higher FPSO charges and LNG costs. Cost reduction initiatives (Pipavav port, crew boats) are yet to show material impact.
Q2 FY26 · mediumManagement acknowledged that FY26 oil and gas production will be below initial guidance due to delays in KG 98/2 ramp-up.
Q2 FY26 · mediumTotal project cost for Mozambique LNG may rise above $16-17 billion, requiring additional approvals and partner contributions.
Q3 FY26 · mediumThe project has faced delays in module installation; any further delays in hook-up and commissioning could push back first gas and ramp-up timelines.
Q3 FY26 · mediumThe budget raised GST on oil services from 12% to 18% with no input tax credit, increasing operating costs. Management indicated no relief under ORD Amendment.
Q3 FY26 · mediumOPaL carries net debt of INR 23,000-24,000 crore. While EBITDA is positive, turning net profitable depends on petrochemical prices, which remain volatile.
What changed through the year
Q1 FY26 · KG Basin ramp-up to 45,000 bbl/d oil and 6-7 mmscmd gas by Q4 FY26
KG Basin oil production to increase from 30,000 bbl/d to 45,000 bbl/d and gas from 3 mmscmd to 6-7 mmscmd by Q4 FY26, after living quarter installation in Nov-Dec 2025.
Q1 FY26 · FY26 standalone production guidance: 20.928 MMT crude oil, 20.110 BCM gas
Management guided standalone crude oil production of 20.928 MMT and gas production of 20.110 BCM for FY26.
Q1 FY26 · FY27 standalone production guidance: 21 MMT crude oil, 21.487 BCM gas
Management guided standalone crude oil production of 21 MMT and gas production of 21.487 BCM for FY27.
Q1 FY26 · New Well Gas volume to reach 4.8+ BCM in FY27 (24-25% of total gas)
New Well Gas volume expected to increase from 2.6 BCM in FY26 to 4.8+ BCM in FY27, representing 24-25% of total gas production.
Q2 FY26 · FY27 standalone oil production target of 21 MMT
Management guided FY27 standalone crude oil production at 21 MMT, up from expected 19.8 MMT in FY26.
Q2 FY26 · FY27 standalone gas production target of 21.5 BCM
Management guided FY27 standalone gas production at 21.5 BCM, up from expected 20 BCM in FY26.
Q2 FY26 · KG 98/2 gas ramp-up to 10 MMSCMD by mid-2026
Gas production from KG 98/2 is expected to ramp up to 10 MMSCMD by June-July 2026 after living quarters installation.
Q2 FY26 · OpEx cost reduction target of INR 5,000 crore
Management targets reducing operating expenses by INR 5,000 crore through logistics optimization, dual-fuel rigs, and renewable power.
Q3 FY26 · FY27 production target of 42.5 million tonnes (oil & gas equivalent)
Management guided for standalone production of 42.5 million tonnes in FY27, comprising ~21 million tonnes of oil and ~21.5 million tonnes of gas equivalent.
Q3 FY26 · CapEx guidance of INR 32,000-33,000 crore for FY27
ONGC plans to maintain CapEx in the range of INR 32,000-33,000 crore for FY27, focused on exploration and production.
Q3 FY26 · Cost reduction target of INR 1,000 crore
Through various efficiency measures, ONGC targets reducing costs by INR 1,000 crore in FY27.
Q3 FY26 · New Well Gas share to increase to 24% in FY27
Management expects the share of New Well Gas in total gas production to rise from 18% to 24% in FY27.