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Ongc FY26 Annual Earnings Summary

3 quarters covered · ₹0 Cr revenue · ₹36,113 Cr PAT · 0.0% average EBITDA margin.

Total annual revenue: ₹0 Cr
Annual PAT: ₹36,113 Cr
Average margin: 0.0%
Promise delivery: Building

Quarter-by-quarter progression

QuarterRevenuePATMarginSentiment
Q1 FY26₹11,552 Crneutral
Q2 FY26₹12,615 Crneutral
Q3 FY26₹11,946 Crbullish

Management promises made during the year

Promise tracking available after 2+ quarters of coverage.

Risks flagged during the year

Q1 FY26 · high

KG Basin production ramp-up delayed from Q2 to Q4 FY26 due to unavailability of living quarter vessel and monsoon. Further delays could impact FY26 production targets.

Q1 FY26 · high

Crude oil realization fell 20% YoY to INR 66.13/bbl. If prices remain low, standalone profitability could be further impacted.

Q2 FY26 · high

Oil production from KG 98/2 fell to 28,000 bpd from 30,000 bpd, and recovery depends on well interventions with uncertain timing.

Q2 FY26 · high

Standalone PAT declined 17.8% YoY due to lower crude realizations; further price drops could pressure earnings.

Q3 FY26 · high

Crude oil prices declined to $61.63/bbl in Q3 FY26 from $72.5/bbl a year ago, impacting revenue. Sustained low prices could pressure upstream margins.

Q1 FY26 · medium

OPaL has debt of INR 24,800 crore. While EBITDA turned positive, profitability depends on petrochemical cycle upturn. Management has no immediate plans to infuse equity.

Q1 FY26 · medium

Operating expenses rose 7.6% YoY due to higher FPSO charges and LNG costs. Cost reduction initiatives (Pipavav port, crew boats) are yet to show material impact.

Q2 FY26 · medium

Management acknowledged that FY26 oil and gas production will be below initial guidance due to delays in KG 98/2 ramp-up.

Q2 FY26 · medium

Total project cost for Mozambique LNG may rise above $16-17 billion, requiring additional approvals and partner contributions.

Q3 FY26 · medium

The project has faced delays in module installation; any further delays in hook-up and commissioning could push back first gas and ramp-up timelines.

Q3 FY26 · medium

The budget raised GST on oil services from 12% to 18% with no input tax credit, increasing operating costs. Management indicated no relief under ORD Amendment.

Q3 FY26 · medium

OPaL carries net debt of INR 23,000-24,000 crore. While EBITDA is positive, turning net profitable depends on petrochemical prices, which remain volatile.

What changed through the year

G

Q1 FY26 · KG Basin ramp-up to 45,000 bbl/d oil and 6-7 mmscmd gas by Q4 FY26

KG Basin oil production to increase from 30,000 bbl/d to 45,000 bbl/d and gas from 3 mmscmd to 6-7 mmscmd by Q4 FY26, after living quarter installation in Nov-Dec 2025.

G

Q1 FY26 · FY26 standalone production guidance: 20.928 MMT crude oil, 20.110 BCM gas

Management guided standalone crude oil production of 20.928 MMT and gas production of 20.110 BCM for FY26.

G

Q1 FY26 · FY27 standalone production guidance: 21 MMT crude oil, 21.487 BCM gas

Management guided standalone crude oil production of 21 MMT and gas production of 21.487 BCM for FY27.

G

Q1 FY26 · New Well Gas volume to reach 4.8+ BCM in FY27 (24-25% of total gas)

New Well Gas volume expected to increase from 2.6 BCM in FY26 to 4.8+ BCM in FY27, representing 24-25% of total gas production.

G

Q2 FY26 · FY27 standalone oil production target of 21 MMT

Management guided FY27 standalone crude oil production at 21 MMT, up from expected 19.8 MMT in FY26.

G

Q2 FY26 · FY27 standalone gas production target of 21.5 BCM

Management guided FY27 standalone gas production at 21.5 BCM, up from expected 20 BCM in FY26.

G

Q2 FY26 · KG 98/2 gas ramp-up to 10 MMSCMD by mid-2026

Gas production from KG 98/2 is expected to ramp up to 10 MMSCMD by June-July 2026 after living quarters installation.

G

Q2 FY26 · OpEx cost reduction target of INR 5,000 crore

Management targets reducing operating expenses by INR 5,000 crore through logistics optimization, dual-fuel rigs, and renewable power.

G

Q3 FY26 · FY27 production target of 42.5 million tonnes (oil & gas equivalent)

Management guided for standalone production of 42.5 million tonnes in FY27, comprising ~21 million tonnes of oil and ~21.5 million tonnes of gas equivalent.

G

Q3 FY26 · CapEx guidance of INR 32,000-33,000 crore for FY27

ONGC plans to maintain CapEx in the range of INR 32,000-33,000 crore for FY27, focused on exploration and production.

G

Q3 FY26 · Cost reduction target of INR 1,000 crore

Through various efficiency measures, ONGC targets reducing costs by INR 1,000 crore in FY27.

G

Q3 FY26 · New Well Gas share to increase to 24% in FY27

Management expects the share of New Well Gas in total gas production to rise from 18% to 24% in FY27.