Risk Intelligence
Low-priced imports from FTA countries
View Risks →NOCIL's Q4 FY26 revenue of ₹330 crore grew 5% sequentially, with volumes up 7% QoQ, driven by GST 2.0-led domestic demand and steady international traction.
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NOCIL's Q4 FY26 revenue of ₹330 crore grew 5% sequentially, with volumes up 7% QoQ, driven by GST 2.0-led domestic demand and steady international traction. However, EBITDA margin contracted to 6.4% due to inventory effects and rising raw material costs, while PAT improved to ₹17 crore from ₹9 crore in Q3. Management expects double-digit volume growth in FY27, supported by new capacity at H (trial production started) and a ₹130 crore specialty capex for H1 FY28. Pricing power is returning: non-contractual prices were raised in March, and contractual revisions are underway. Anti-dumping duty recommendations for TDQ and sulfenamides await government approval, which could improve spreads. Key risk: persistent low-priced imports from FTA countries may delay margin recovery despite anti-dumping measures.
Low-priced imports from FTA countries
View Risks →Full transcript text is available on this route.
Read Transcript →Volume index reached 150 for the second time in history, indicating strong sequential volume growth.
Domestic volumes account for 70% of total volume; export 30%.
Management targets specialty mix to reach 20% of revenue post new capex, up from current ~15%.
DGTR recommended ₹40/kg duty on TDQ and sulfenamides; central government approval expected by mid-June.
Management targets double-digit volume growth for the coming year, building on Q4 momentum and new capacities.
Imports from Thailand and Korea under FTA continue to pressure realizations; management is highlighting the issue but no outcome yet.
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