JS
JSW Steel
Q4 FY26 · Manufacturing
JSW Steel reported a strong Q4 FY26 with consolidated revenue crossing ₹51,100 crore for the first time, adjusted EBITDA of ₹9,713 crore (19% margin), and normalized PAT of ₹3,475 crore (excluding exceptional gain of ₹17,888 crore from BPSL JV). The quarter was driven by record steel sales of ~8 million tons, 96% capacity utilization (ex-BF shutdown), and improved product mix. Management guided FY27 consolidated production of 29.75 million tons (+13% YoY) and sales of 28.6 million tons (+10% YoY), supported by domestic demand growth of 7-9%. Key risks include higher coking coal costs ($12-15/ton QoQ), Middle East conflict impacting gas/LPG supply, and potential safeguard duty withdrawal. The company announced a capex plan of ₹126,000 crore over 4-5 years to reach 62 million tons standalone capacity by FY32.
- Guidance read
- FY27 consolidated production target of 29.75 million tons: Management guided production of 29.75 million tons for FY27, representing ~13% growth on a like-for-like basis (excluding BPSL). FY27 sales volume guidance of 28.6 million tons: Sales volume expected at 28.6 million tons, implying ~10% growth YoY, including BMM Ispat acquisition. Capex of ₹22,000-24,000 crore in FY27: Part of the ₹126,000 crore growth capex plan to be spent over 4-5 years; FY27 spend guided at ₹22,000-24,000 crore. Target of 62 million tons standalone capacity by FY32: JSW Steel aims to expand standalone capacity to 62 million tons by FY32, with additional 16 million tons via JVs (JF Steel and POSCO).
- Risk read
- Key risks include Coking coal cost inflation — Management expects coking coal costs to rise by $12-15/ton in Q1 FY27, impacting margins.; Middle East conflict impact on gas/LPG supply — Analyst raised concern about gas shortages; management acknowledged limited exposure (5-6% of production) but noted cost impact and potential disruption if conflict escalates.; Potential withdrawal of safeguard duty — Analyst questioned risk of protection removal; management argued current duties are moderate and prices are aligned with international levels, but did not fully address the risk.; Execution risk on multiple large expansions — Simultaneous projects at Dolvi, Vijayanagar, Utkal, and JVs could strain execution and capital allocation..
- Promise ledger
- Scorecard data is being built as historical quarters are processed.
UL
UltraTech Cement
Q4 FY26 · Manufacturing
UltraTech Cement delivered a strong Q4 FY26, with consolidated sales volumes crossing 44 million tons and PAT of ₹3,000 crore for the quarter. The company achieved 200 million tons of cement production capacity, a full year ahead of target, driven by disciplined organic growth and timely acquisitions. Brand migration for India Cements and Kesam was completed a quarter early, with India Cements' EBITDA per ton improving sequentially to ₹497. Management guided for sustainable volume growth of 7-8% and double-digit growth in FY27, with annual capex of ₹8,000-10,000 crore. Key risks include West Asia conflict-driven cost inflation (bags, fuel, forex) and potential demand slowdown from rising input costs across building materials.
- Guidance read
- Volume growth of 7-8% sustainable, double-digit in FY27: Management expects sustainable volume growth of 7-8% per annum, with FY27 targeting double-digit growth driven by structural demand. Annual capex of ₹8,000-10,000 crore for foreseeable future: Capex will continue at ₹8,000-10,000 crore per year for cement capacity expansion beyond 240 million tons. India Cements EBITDA per ton to exceed ₹1,000 by FY28: Cost improvement capex and price increases will drive India Cements' EBITDA per ton above ₹1,000 by end of FY28. Clinker conversion ratio target of 1.54x by FY28: Target to improve clinker conversion ratio to 1.54x by FY28, enhancing profitability through blended cement.
- Risk read
- Key risks include West Asia conflict driving input cost inflation — Rising fuel, bag, and freight costs due to the conflict could pressure margins; management noted a ₹90 crore impact on bags in March alone.; Forex volatility from rupee devaluation — Rupee devaluation led to a mark-to-market hit of ~₹130-140 per ton on foreign currency borrowings, impacting EBITDA.; Demand slowdown from rising building material costs — Steel, PVC, and other materials have become expensive, potentially affecting overall construction demand, though management sees no slowdown yet.; Legal hurdles delaying India Cements merger — Inherited legal cases may delay full integration of India Cements; management is cautious about risks to UltraTech's balance sheet..
- Promise ledger
- Scorecard data is being built as historical quarters are processed.