JS
JSW Steel
Q4 FY26 · Manufacturing
JSW Steel reported a strong Q4 FY26 with consolidated revenue crossing ₹51,100 crore for the first time, adjusted EBITDA of ₹9,713 crore (19% margin), and normalized PAT of ₹3,475 crore (excluding exceptional gain of ₹17,888 crore from BPSL JV). The quarter was driven by record steel sales of ~8 million tons, 96% capacity utilization (ex-BF shutdown), and improved product mix. Management guided FY27 consolidated production of 29.75 million tons (+13% YoY) and sales of 28.6 million tons (+10% YoY), supported by domestic demand growth of 7-9%. Key risks include higher coking coal costs ($12-15/ton QoQ), Middle East conflict impacting gas/LPG supply, and potential safeguard duty withdrawal. The company announced a capex plan of ₹126,000 crore over 4-5 years to reach 62 million tons standalone capacity by FY32.
- Guidance read
- FY27 consolidated production target of 29.75 million tons: Management guided production of 29.75 million tons for FY27, representing ~13% growth on a like-for-like basis (excluding BPSL). FY27 sales volume guidance of 28.6 million tons: Sales volume expected at 28.6 million tons, implying ~10% growth YoY, including BMM Ispat acquisition. Capex of ₹22,000-24,000 crore in FY27: Part of the ₹126,000 crore growth capex plan to be spent over 4-5 years; FY27 spend guided at ₹22,000-24,000 crore. Target of 62 million tons standalone capacity by FY32: JSW Steel aims to expand standalone capacity to 62 million tons by FY32, with additional 16 million tons via JVs (JF Steel and POSCO).
- Risk read
- Key risks include Coking coal cost inflation — Management expects coking coal costs to rise by $12-15/ton in Q1 FY27, impacting margins.; Middle East conflict impact on gas/LPG supply — Analyst raised concern about gas shortages; management acknowledged limited exposure (5-6% of production) but noted cost impact and potential disruption if conflict escalates.; Potential withdrawal of safeguard duty — Analyst questioned risk of protection removal; management argued current duties are moderate and prices are aligned with international levels, but did not fully address the risk.; Execution risk on multiple large expansions — Simultaneous projects at Dolvi, Vijayanagar, Utkal, and JVs could strain execution and capital allocation..
- Promise ledger
- Scorecard data is being built as historical quarters are processed.
AM
Ambuja Cements
Q4 FY26 · Manufacturing
Ambuja Cements reported a disappointing Q4 FY26 with cost per ton surging to ₹4,500, well above the earlier target of ₹4,100, driven by higher freight, packing costs from the West Asia crisis, and elevated repairs at acquired assets (Sanghi, Penna). Annual sales volume hit a record 73.7 million tons (+16% YoY), but EBITDA per ton at ₹887 missed expectations. Management admitted to execution failures, resetting capacity expansion timelines and guiding for only 8% volume growth in FY27 to ~80 million tons, below industry growth of 5-5.5%. Cost reduction of ₹250/ton is targeted for FY27, but Q1 is expected to remain flat at elevated levels. The key risk is that pricing power remains weak, with only ₹10/bag improvement, and cost inflation may persist if global energy prices stay high.
- Guidance read
- FY27 volume target of ~80 million tons: Management expects 8% volume growth to ~80 million tons in FY27, driven by stabilization of acquired assets and new capacities. Cost reduction of ₹250/ton in FY27: Targeting ₹250/ton reduction in average cost from Q4 FY26 exit of ₹4,500/ton, reaching ~₹4,250/ton for FY27. Capex of ₹6,000-6,500 crore for FY27: Capital expenditure for FY27 estimated at ₹6,000-6,500 crore, focused on completing ongoing projects and debottlenecking. Capacity to reach 119 million tons by end FY27: Cement capacity expected to increase to 119 million tons by end of FY27, including 10 million tons of new grinding units.
- Risk read
- Key risks include Cost inflation from West Asia crisis — Packing bag costs and fuel prices surged in March due to geopolitical tensions, adding ~₹250/ton to costs. Further escalation could delay cost reduction targets.; Weak pricing power amid soft demand — Despite cost inflation, cement prices have only increased by ₹10-15/bag in select pockets. Management expects subdued demand in April-May, limiting ability to pass on costs.; Execution delays in capacity expansion — Projects have been delayed due to contractor issues, incomplete engineering, and lack of team bandwidth. Management has reset timelines, but further slippages could impact volume growth.; Higher-than-expected costs at acquired assets — Sanghi and Penna plants have lower utilization (57% and 46% respectively) and higher maintenance costs. Turnaround has taken longer than anticipated, weighing on overall margins..
- Promise ledger
- Scorecard data is being built as historical quarters are processed.