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IRB Infrastructure Developers vs HG Infra Engineering Q3 FY26

Side-by-side earnings comparison across financial stats, AI summaries, management guidance, risks, quotes, and accountability signals.

IRB Infrastructure Developers

bullish high

IRB reported Q3 FY26 consolidated revenue of ₹1,912 crore (down 9% YoY) due to completion of construction projects, but PAT grew 14% YoY to ₹253 crore driven by higher InvIT income and lower interest costs.

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HG Infra Engineering

neutral medium

HG Infra reported Q3 FY26 standalone revenue of ₹1,450 crore with EBITDA margin of 15.5%, while PAT declined to ₹97 crore (6.7% margin) due to higher tax provisions.

Read HG Infra Engineering analysis →

Result Snapshot

Revenue₹1,871 Cr₹1,450 Cr
PAT₹211 Cr₹97 Cr
EBITDA Margin55%15.5%
Sentimentbullishneutral

AI Summary

IRB Infrastructure Developers

Q3 FY26 · Infrastructure

IRB reported Q3 FY26 consolidated revenue of ₹1,912 crore (down 9% YoY) due to completion of construction projects, but PAT grew 14% YoY to ₹253 crore driven by higher InvIT income and lower interest costs. EBITDA margin expanded ~80bps to ~8.5%. The company won TOT8 for ₹3,087 crore, raising its TOT market share to 44%, and completed the VM7 asset transfer, unlocking ₹520 crore equity. Management guided for zero net debt by 2030 and 25% PAT CAGR, with a robust order book of ₹37,300 crore. Key risk: MLFF technology uncertainty may delay future TOT bids.

Guidance read
Zero net debt by 2030: Management targets consolidated net debt to reach zero by 2030, improving balance sheet strength. 25% PAT CAGR till 2030: Expects profit after tax to grow at a CAGR of approximately 25% until 2030. Cash ROE to improve from 6-8% to 14-15% by 2030: Cash return on equity is expected to increase from current 6-8% to 14-15% by 2030. Asset base target of ₹1,40,000 Cr in 3 years: Company aims to scale asset base from ₹94,000 Cr to ₹1,40,000 Cr over the next three years.
Risk read
Key risks include MLFF technology uncertainty — NHAI's mandate for multi-lane free flow on TOT19 led IRB to skip bidding; unresolved recovery mechanism may affect future TOT bids.; Intense competition in HAM/EPC — Management noted 20+ bidders per HAM project and EPC bids 45-50% below NHAI estimates, making these segments unattractive.; Complex BOT projects with viability concerns — New BOT projects are more complex (e.g., structure-heavy) with uncertain traffic and toll structures, limiting IRB's appetite.; Declining construction revenue — Construction segment revenue fell 31% YoY due to project completions; future EPC revenue depends on selective bidding..
Promise ledger
Scorecard data is being built as historical quarters are processed.

HG Infra Engineering

Q3 FY26 · Infrastructure

HG Infra reported Q3 FY26 standalone revenue of ₹1,450 crore with EBITDA margin of 15.5%, while PAT declined to ₹97 crore (6.7% margin) due to higher tax provisions. The order book stands at ₹13,624 crore, with roads contributing 64%, railways 20%, and renewables 15%. Execution was impacted by prolonged monsoon and delayed appointed dates for key projects like Varanasi-Kolkata Package 10. Management expects Q4 revenue of ~₹2,000 crore and FY27 revenue of ~₹7,000 crore, driven by existing orders and new project wins. Order inflow target for FY27 is ₹10,000-12,000 crore. Risks include margin compression from competitive bidding, delays in HAM asset monetization, and the ongoing CBI investigation which management declined to elaborate on.

Guidance read
Q4 FY26 revenue guidance of ~₹2,000 crore: Management expects standalone revenue of around ₹2,000 crore in Q4 FY26, driven by execution catch-up. FY27 revenue guidance of ~₹7,000 crore: Revenue target for FY27 is approximately ₹7,000 crore, with ₹5,500 crore from existing projects and ₹1,500 crore from new projects like MSRDC. FY27 order inflow target of ₹10,000-12,000 crore: Management targets order inflows of ₹10,000-12,000 crore in FY27, including roads, railways, and BESS projects. EBITDA margin guidance of ~14-15% for new projects: Margins on new bids are expected to be around 14-15%, down from historical 15-16%, due to competitive pressure.
Risk read
Key risks include CBI investigation impact — CBI searched company offices in January 2026; management provided no details beyond stock exchange disclosures, creating uncertainty.; Delay in HAM asset monetization — Monetization of 5 HAM assets is pending lender NOCs; only 3 of 5 SPVs expected to close in FY26, delaying cash inflows.; Margin compression from competitive bidding — Management acknowledged that new project margins may fall to ~14% from historical 15-16% due to market correction.; Execution risk from delayed appointed dates — Key projects like Varanasi-Kolkata Package 10 and Nagpur EPC orders face delays, impacting revenue visibility..
Promise ledger
Scorecard data is being built as historical quarters are processed.

Key Numbers

IRB Infrastructure Developers

Q3 FY26 · Infrastructure
TOT Market Share 44%
+8pp YoY

Market share in TOT segment increased to 44% after winning TOT8.

Order Book ₹37,300 Cr
+14% YoY

Order book includes ₹1,600 Cr emergency orders; execution spread over 10-12 years.

Daily Toll Collection (InvIT+IRB) ₹17.94 Cr
+12% YoY

Per-day toll collection grew 12% YoY driven by healthy traffic momentum.

Asset Base ₹94,000 Cr
+17.5% YoY

Asset base expanded from ₹80,000 Cr to ₹94,000 Cr; target ₹1,40,000 Cr in 3 years.

HG Infra Engineering

Q3 FY26 · Infrastructure
Order Book ₹13,624 crore
+?% YoY

Order book includes roads (₹8,734 cr), railways (₹2,779 cr), renewables (₹1,620 cr), and others.

Solar Project Completion 95.8%
+?pp QoQ

Physical progress of solar projects; commissioning expected by March 2026.

HAM Asset Monetization Proceeds ₹500-600 crore
N/A

Expected first tranche from divestment of 5 HAM SPVs, likely in Q4 FY26.

Order Inflow YTD ₹3,300 crore
N/A

New orders secured in 9M FY26; target of ₹4,000-5,000 crore by March 2026.

Management Guidance

IRB Infrastructure Developers

Q3 FY26 · Infrastructure
G

Zero net debt by 2030

Management targets consolidated net debt to reach zero by 2030, improving balance sheet strength.

Management guidance other
G

25% PAT CAGR till 2030

Expects profit after tax to grow at a CAGR of approximately 25% until 2030.

Management guidance growth
G

Cash ROE to improve from 6-8% to 14-15% by 2030

Cash return on equity is expected to increase from current 6-8% to 14-15% by 2030.

Management guidance margins
G

Asset base target of ₹1,40,000 Cr in 3 years

Company aims to scale asset base from ₹94,000 Cr to ₹1,40,000 Cr over the next three years.

Management guidance expansion

HG Infra Engineering

Q3 FY26 · Infrastructure
G

Q4 FY26 revenue guidance of ~₹2,000 crore

Management expects standalone revenue of around ₹2,000 crore in Q4 FY26, driven by execution catch-up.

Management guidance revenue
G

FY27 revenue guidance of ~₹7,000 crore

Revenue target for FY27 is approximately ₹7,000 crore, with ₹5,500 crore from existing projects and ₹1,500 crore from new projects like MSRDC.

Management guidance revenue
G

FY27 order inflow target of ₹10,000-12,000 crore

Management targets order inflows of ₹10,000-12,000 crore in FY27, including roads, railways, and BESS projects.

Management guidance growth
G

EBITDA margin guidance of ~14-15% for new projects

Margins on new bids are expected to be around 14-15%, down from historical 15-16%, due to competitive pressure.

Management guidance margins

Key Risks

IRB Infrastructure Developers

Q3 FY26 · Infrastructure
R

MLFF technology uncertainty

NHAI's mandate for multi-lane free flow on TOT19 led IRB to skip bidding; unresolved recovery mechanism may affect future TOT bids.

medium · management_commentary
R

Intense competition in HAM/EPC

Management noted 20+ bidders per HAM project and EPC bids 45-50% below NHAI estimates, making these segments unattractive.

medium · management_commentary
R

Complex BOT projects with viability concerns

New BOT projects are more complex (e.g., structure-heavy) with uncertain traffic and toll structures, limiting IRB's appetite.

medium · analyst_question
R

Declining construction revenue

Construction segment revenue fell 31% YoY due to project completions; future EPC revenue depends on selective bidding.

low · data_observation

HG Infra Engineering

Q3 FY26 · Infrastructure
R

CBI investigation impact

CBI searched company offices in January 2026; management provided no details beyond stock exchange disclosures, creating uncertainty.

high · analyst_question
R

Delay in HAM asset monetization

Monetization of 5 HAM assets is pending lender NOCs; only 3 of 5 SPVs expected to close in FY26, delaying cash inflows.

medium · management_commentary
R

Margin compression from competitive bidding

Management acknowledged that new project margins may fall to ~14% from historical 15-16% due to market correction.

medium · management_commentary
R

Execution risk from delayed appointed dates

Key projects like Varanasi-Kolkata Package 10 and Nagpur EPC orders face delays, impacting revenue visibility.

medium · data_observation

Key Quotes

IRB Infrastructure Developers

Q3 FY26 · Infrastructure
We have successfully executed our BC that is build execute stable land and transfer strategy monetizing matured assets through our public.
Anil Yadav · Senior Management
We are not anti-technology. We are very much for MLFF. The problem is that we want the MLFF to get tested.
Vindra Mahiskar · Senior Management

HG Infra Engineering

Q3 FY26 · Infrastructure
We are quite hopeful that we will be overpassing the last year number and looking at this the appointed date of jaran package 10 which was not issued has impacted around 2 to 300 rupees otherwise we would be in and around the last year number plus some percentage.
Harendra Singh · Chairman and Managing Director
As of now the project which we are already having in hand we do have this margin this is for sure but in near future definitely as the market trend is giving a bit of a sense of correction where the margins are likely to be not in the same number would be around 14 or say that number.
Harendra Singh · Chairman and Managing Director