IR
IRB Infrastructure Developers
Q3 FY26 · Infrastructure
IRB reported Q3 FY26 consolidated revenue of ₹1,912 crore (down 9% YoY) due to completion of construction projects, but PAT grew 14% YoY to ₹253 crore driven by higher InvIT income and lower interest costs. EBITDA margin expanded ~80bps to ~8.5%. The company won TOT8 for ₹3,087 crore, raising its TOT market share to 44%, and completed the VM7 asset transfer, unlocking ₹520 crore equity. Management guided for zero net debt by 2030 and 25% PAT CAGR, with a robust order book of ₹37,300 crore. Key risk: MLFF technology uncertainty may delay future TOT bids.
- Guidance read
- Zero net debt by 2030: Management targets consolidated net debt to reach zero by 2030, improving balance sheet strength. 25% PAT CAGR till 2030: Expects profit after tax to grow at a CAGR of approximately 25% until 2030. Cash ROE to improve from 6-8% to 14-15% by 2030: Cash return on equity is expected to increase from current 6-8% to 14-15% by 2030. Asset base target of ₹1,40,000 Cr in 3 years: Company aims to scale asset base from ₹94,000 Cr to ₹1,40,000 Cr over the next three years.
- Risk read
- Key risks include MLFF technology uncertainty — NHAI's mandate for multi-lane free flow on TOT19 led IRB to skip bidding; unresolved recovery mechanism may affect future TOT bids.; Intense competition in HAM/EPC — Management noted 20+ bidders per HAM project and EPC bids 45-50% below NHAI estimates, making these segments unattractive.; Complex BOT projects with viability concerns — New BOT projects are more complex (e.g., structure-heavy) with uncertain traffic and toll structures, limiting IRB's appetite.; Declining construction revenue — Construction segment revenue fell 31% YoY due to project completions; future EPC revenue depends on selective bidding..
- Promise ledger
- Scorecard data is being built as historical quarters are processed.
HG
HG Infra Engineering
Q3 FY26 · Infrastructure
HG Infra reported Q3 FY26 standalone revenue of ₹1,450 crore with EBITDA margin of 15.5%, while PAT declined to ₹97 crore (6.7% margin) due to higher tax provisions. The order book stands at ₹13,624 crore, with roads contributing 64%, railways 20%, and renewables 15%. Execution was impacted by prolonged monsoon and delayed appointed dates for key projects like Varanasi-Kolkata Package 10. Management expects Q4 revenue of ~₹2,000 crore and FY27 revenue of ~₹7,000 crore, driven by existing orders and new project wins. Order inflow target for FY27 is ₹10,000-12,000 crore. Risks include margin compression from competitive bidding, delays in HAM asset monetization, and the ongoing CBI investigation which management declined to elaborate on.
- Guidance read
- Q4 FY26 revenue guidance of ~₹2,000 crore: Management expects standalone revenue of around ₹2,000 crore in Q4 FY26, driven by execution catch-up. FY27 revenue guidance of ~₹7,000 crore: Revenue target for FY27 is approximately ₹7,000 crore, with ₹5,500 crore from existing projects and ₹1,500 crore from new projects like MSRDC. FY27 order inflow target of ₹10,000-12,000 crore: Management targets order inflows of ₹10,000-12,000 crore in FY27, including roads, railways, and BESS projects. EBITDA margin guidance of ~14-15% for new projects: Margins on new bids are expected to be around 14-15%, down from historical 15-16%, due to competitive pressure.
- Risk read
- Key risks include CBI investigation impact — CBI searched company offices in January 2026; management provided no details beyond stock exchange disclosures, creating uncertainty.; Delay in HAM asset monetization — Monetization of 5 HAM assets is pending lender NOCs; only 3 of 5 SPVs expected to close in FY26, delaying cash inflows.; Margin compression from competitive bidding — Management acknowledged that new project margins may fall to ~14% from historical 15-16% due to market correction.; Execution risk from delayed appointed dates — Key projects like Varanasi-Kolkata Package 10 and Nagpur EPC orders face delays, impacting revenue visibility..
- Promise ledger
- Scorecard data is being built as historical quarters are processed.