HCLTech Management Guidance Tracker
45 forward-looking guidance items tracked across 12 quarters.
Revenue
Despite Q1 softness, management reaffirms constant currency revenue growth guidance of 6-8% for FY24, relying on strong pipeline conversion.
Q2 FY24FY24 revenue growth guidance revised to 5%-6%TrackedCompany-level constant currency revenue growth for FY24 is now expected at 5%-6%, down from the earlier 6%-7% range, due to weak H1 discretionary spend.
Q2 FY24Services organic growth guidance of 4.5%-5.5%TrackedOrganic services revenue growth for FY24 is guided at 4.5%-5.5% in constant currency, implying strong H2 CQGR of 2.6%-3.8%.
Q3 FY24FY24 revenue growth guidance of 5%-5.5%ActiveTotal revenue growth for FY24 is expected in the range of 5%-5.5% in constant currency, with services trending towards the higher end.
Q4 FY24FY25 Revenue Growth 3-5% CCActiveHCLTech guides for constant currency revenue growth of 3-5% for FY25, with Q1 expected to decline ~2% sequentially due to offshoring impact in a large FS deal and annual productivity passbacks.
Q4 FY24Q1 FY25 Revenue Decline ~2% QoQActiveManagement expects Q1 FY25 revenue to decline approximately 2% sequentially, driven by offshoring in a large deal and annual productivity passbacks, excluding State Street impact.
Q1 FY25FY25 revenue growth guidance maintained at 3-5% constant currencyTrackedManagement reiterated full-year revenue growth guidance of 3-5% in constant currency, despite an 80bps impact from the State Street JV divestiture.
Q2 FY25FY25 revenue growth guidance raised to 3.5%-5% YoY in CCTrackedOverall revenue growth for FY25 is now expected between 3.5% and 5% year-on-year in constant currency, revised up from 3%-3.5%.
Q2 FY25Services revenue growth guidance of 3.5%-5% YoY in CCTrackedServices revenue growth for FY25 is also expected between 3.5% and 5% year-on-year in constant currency.
Q3 FY25FY25 revenue growth guidance of 4.5%-5% YoY in CCTrackedIncludes approximately 50bps contribution from HPE CTG acquisition. Services revenue growth also expected between 4.5%-5% YoY in CC.
Q3 FY25Q4 services organic growth expected -1.3% to +0.6% QoQActiveImplies a sequential decline or modest growth due to large project completion and planned mega deal rundown.
Q3 FY25Software business expected low single-digit growth for FY25TrackedManagement expects low single-digit growth for the software business on a full-year basis, with some delayed renewals potentially not recovering in Q4.
Q4 FY25FY26 Revenue Growth 3%-5% CCTrackedFull-year constant currency revenue growth guidance for the company, with lower end assuming macro deterioration and upper end assuming stable environment and large deal closures.
Q4 FY25Q1 Seasonality Expected to Be NormalActiveQ1 FY26 will have typical seasonal weakness but better than Q1 FY25, with ramp-up of mega deal starting in a few weeks.
Q1 FY26FY26 revenue guidance raised to 3%-5% CCTrackedRevenue growth guidance improved from 2%-4% to 3%-5% in constant currency, based on better Q1 performance and outlook.
Q2 FY26FY26 services revenue guidance raised to 4-5% CCActiveFull-year services revenue growth guidance increased from 3-5% to 4-5% in constant currency, reflecting strong Q2 momentum.
Q2 FY26Company-level revenue guidance maintained at 3-5% CCActiveOverall company guidance unchanged due to softness in software segment.
Q3 FY26FY26 Services Revenue Growth Guidance Raised to 4.7%-5.25% CCTrackedFull-year services constant currency growth guidance raised to 4.7%-5.25% from previous range, reflecting strong Q3 performance and bookings.
Q3 FY26FY26 Overall Revenue Growth Guidance Raised to 4%-4.5% CCTrackedCompany-level constant currency growth guidance raised to 4%-4.5% for FY26.
Q4 FY26FY27 revenue growth 1-4% CCTrackedConsolidated revenue growth guidance for FY27 in constant currency; services growth 1.5-4.5%.
Margins
Management reaffirms EBIT margin guidance of 18-19% for FY24, supported by cost actions including skipping compensation reviews.
Q2 FY24EBIT margin guidance maintained at 18%-19%TrackedFull-year EBIT margin guidance remains unchanged at 18%-19%, supported by operational efficiencies and cost optimization.
Q2 FY24Wage hike impact of 60-65 bps in Q3ActiveAnnual wage hikes deferred to October will impact Q3 margins by ~60-65 bps, with an additional 25-30 bps in Q4.
Q3 FY24FY24 operating margin guidance of 18%-19%ActiveOperating margins for FY24 are expected to be between 18% and 19%.
Q4 FY24FY25 Operating Margin 18-19%TrackedOperating margin guidance for FY25 is maintained at 18-19%, consistent with FY24 actuals, with no specific timeline to reach the aspirational 20% level.
Q1 FY25FY25 EBIT margin guidance maintained at 18-19%TrackedEBIT margin guidance for FY25 remains at 18-19%, with Q1 at 17.1% and expected improvement in subsequent quarters.
Q2 FY25EBIT margin guidance unchanged at 18%-19%TrackedEBIT margin for FY25 is maintained at 18%-19%, despite wage hike impacts in H2.
Q2 FY25Wage hike impact of 65-80 bps in Q3 and additional 50-60 bps in Q4ActiveWage hikes will impact margins by 65-80 basis points in Q3 and a further 50-60 basis points in Q4.
Q3 FY25EBIT margin guidance unchanged at 18%-19%TrackedManagement maintained EBIT margin guidance for FY25 at 18%-19%.
Q4 FY25FY26 EBIT Margin 18%-19%TrackedFull-year EBIT margin guidance for both services and software, consistent with FY25 margin of 18.3%.
Q1 FY26FY26 EBIT margin guidance lowered to 17%-18%TrackedEBIT margin guidance reduced from 18%-19% to 17%-18%, factoring in Q1 headwinds, restructuring costs, and AI investments.
Q2 FY26Full-year EBIT margin guidance maintained at 17-18%ActiveManagement reiterated EBIT margin guidance of 17-18% for FY26.
Q3 FY26FY26 EBIT Margin Guidance Maintained at 17%-18%TrackedFull-year EBIT margin guidance remains at 17%-18%, inclusive of restructuring costs but excluding one-time labor code impact.
Q3 FY26Ongoing Labor Code Cost Impact Minimal at 10-20 bpsActiveManagement expects minimal ongoing costs from new labor code, estimated at 10-20 basis points impact on margins.
Q4 FY26FY27 EBIT margin 17.5-18.5%TrackedOperating margin guidance for FY27, excluding impact of acquisitions.
Growth
Management expects a significant spike in bookings in Q2, driven by advanced-stage large deals in the pipeline.
Q3 FY24Q4 services growth driven by four factorsActiveQ4 services growth expected from large deal ramp-up, furlough reversal, ER&D momentum, and rest of portfolio.
Q1 FY25Q2 FY25 sequential growth expected across all verticals except Financial ServicesActiveManagement expects Q2 to show sequential growth in all verticals and geographies except Financial Services, which will be impacted by the State Street JV exit.
Q4 FY25Inorganic Contribution ~1% in FY26TrackedThe CTG acquisition (closed Dec 2024) will contribute approximately 1% to FY26 revenue growth.
Q4 FY26Two clients to cause ~50bps growth headwind in FY27ActiveSpecific client reductions in manufacturing and retail will impact growth by about 50 basis points.
Ai Strategy
HCLTech targets training 50,000 employees on GenAI and AI skills this fiscal year; 33% of this target was achieved in Q1 alone.
Q1 FY26AI investments to normalize by FY27TrackedManagement expects SG&A percentage to normalize in FY27 as growth catches up with AI investments.
Q4 FY26AI native services to grow 25-30%TrackedManagement expects advanced AI services (AI factory, custom silicon) to grow at 25-30% annually.
Other
One-time restructuring costs (people and non-people) of 30-40 bps impact in subsequent quarters to improve structural agility.
Q2 FY26Restructuring costs may be slightly higher than 40 bps for full yearActiveRestructuring impact of 55 bps in Q2; full-year impact may exceed the earlier estimate of 40 bps, continuing into Q3 and possibly Q4.