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Grasim FY25 Annual Earnings Summary

4 quarters covered · ₹1,11,146 Cr revenue · ₹0 Cr PAT · 0.0% average EBITDA margin.

Total annual revenue: ₹1,11,146 Cr
Annual PAT: ₹0 Cr
Average margin: 0.0%
Promise delivery: 0%

Quarter-by-quarter progression

QuarterRevenuePATMarginSentiment
Q1 FY25₹33,861 Crneutral
Q2 FY25₹33,563 Crneutral
Q3 FY25₹34,793 Crneutral
Q4 FY25₹8,929 Crbullish

Management promises made during the year

Paints: exit FY25 with high single-digit market share

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q3 FY25
missed
Net debt to EBITDA at 3.5x

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q3 FY25
missed
Net debt-to-EBITDA not to exceed 3-3.5x

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q4 FY25
missed

Risks flagged during the year

Q1 FY25 · high

Paints business is in investment mode with significant marketing spend; losses expected to continue for at least three years.

Q2 FY25 · high

Increased trade discounts and promotional spending by incumbents could pressure Birla Opus's margins and delay profitability.

Q3 FY25 · high

Key inputs like pulp, caustic soda, and sulfur have risen over 10%, and price pass-through has been incomplete, pressuring margins.

Q4 FY25 · high

The paint market has been negative excluding Birla Opus, and FY26 may remain a low single-digit growth year, potentially delaying market share and profitability targets.

Q1 FY25 · medium

Competitor added significant chlorine capacity in Gujarat, putting downward pressure on chlorine prices and ECU.

Q1 FY25 · medium

Revenue from trial production is capitalized to CWIP, making reported revenue not fully representative of actual sales.

Q1 FY25 · medium

Elevated geopolitical risks and high interest rates could impact global textile demand and chemical prices.

Q2 FY25 · medium

Cement business faced demand slowdown due to elections, heat, and extended monsoons, leading to lower realizations and impacting consolidated EBITDA.

Q2 FY25 · medium

Oversupply of chlorine led to higher negative realization, impacting chemicals ECU despite improvement in caustic prices.

Q3 FY25 · medium

Chlorine realization remained negative at INR 7,000-7,500/ton in Q3, and Q4 is expected to be worse, offsetting caustic gains.

Q3 FY25 · medium

The decorative paints market was flat to marginally negative in Q3, and a sustained slowdown could delay Birla Opus's breakeven timeline.

Q3 FY25 · medium

BPA and ECH prices rose ~13% QoQ, and not all cost increases could be passed on, impacting epoxy margins.

What changed through the year

G

Q1 FY25 · Paints: High single-digit market share by FY25 end

Management reiterated target of achieving high single-digit market share by end of FY25.

G

Q1 FY25 · Paints: 50,000 active dealers by FY25 end

Target to have 50,000 active dealers by end of FY25, currently on track.

G

Q1 FY25 · Renewables: Double capacity to 2 GW by FY25 end

Renewable energy capacity to double from 1 GW to 2 GW by end of FY25.

G

Q1 FY25 · B2B e-commerce: $1 billion revenue in three years

Birla Pivot aims to reach $1 billion in revenue within three years.

G

Q2 FY25 · Paints: exit FY25 with high single-digit market share

Birla Opus is on track to achieve high single-digit market share in decorative paints by end of FY25, with three plants commissioned and two more starting trial runs.

G

Q2 FY25 · Birla Pivot: $1 billion revenue in three years

B2B e-commerce platform targeting $1 billion revenue within three years from FY24, with current ramp-up ahead of expectations.

G

Q2 FY25 · UltraTech: 200 MTPA cement capacity by FY27

UltraTech on track to achieve gray cement capacity of over 200 million tons per annum by FY27, including acquisitions.

G

Q2 FY25 · Net debt to EBITDA at 3.5x

Management guided net debt to EBITDA of about 3.5x, with balance rights issue of ₹2,000 crore expected in Q4.

G

Q3 FY25 · Paints breakeven within three years of full-scale operations

Birla Opus targets breakeven within three years after all plants are fully operational, with first year being the heaviest investment period.

G

Q3 FY25 · Net debt-to-EBITDA not to exceed 3-3.5x

Management reiterated a net debt-to-EBITDA ceiling of 3-3.5x, which will guide future capex decisions.

G

Q3 FY25 · Cement capacity of 200 MTPA by FY27

UltraTech remains on track to achieve domestic grey cement capacity of over 200 million tonnes per annum by FY27.

G

Q3 FY25 · Lyocell first phase 55 KTPA by mid-2027

Board approved 110 KTPA lyocell capacity at Harihar; first phase of 55 KTPA to be executed by mid-2027 at INR 1,350 crore investment.

G

Q4 FY25 · Birla Opus to achieve double-digit market share in FY26

Management aspires for Birla Opus standalone to reach double-digit revenue market share in FY26, up from high single digits currently.

G

Q4 FY25 · Birla Opus breakeven at INR 10,000 crore revenue

The paint business is expected to break even at an EBITDA level when it reaches INR 10,000 crore in revenue within three years of full-scale operations.

G

Q4 FY25 · Birla Pivot to break even at $1 billion (INR 8,500 crore) scale

The B2B e-commerce platform expects to achieve EBITDA breakeven at an annual run rate of INR 8,500 crore.

G

Q4 FY25 · Kharagpur paint plant commercial launch in H1 FY26

The sixth paint plant at Kharagpur is scheduled to be commercially launched in H1 FY26, adding 236 MLPA capacity.