Godrej Properties FY25 Annual Earnings Summary
3 quarters covered · ₹2,801 Cr revenue · ₹1,011 Cr PAT · -8.3% average EBITDA margin.
Quarter-by-quarter progression
Management promises made during the year
Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q1 FY25Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q2 FY25Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q3 FY25Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q3 FY25Risks flagged during the year
Upcoming elections in Maharashtra could delay project approvals in Mumbai and Pune, impacting launch timelines.
Q1 FY25 · mediumThe Ashok Vihar project in NCR is delayed due to tree removal court cases, with no clear timeline. Management now expects launch by Q4 FY25 at best.
Q1 FY25 · mediumThe sharp increase in booking volume (8.99 msf in Q1) raises questions about delivery pace. Management has invested in execution capabilities but risks remain.
Q2 FY25 · mediumLand prices have risen sharply, and if property prices do not keep pace, project margins could compress. Management mitigates this by underwriting at current prices and targeting 20-25% IRR.
Q2 FY25 · mediumDelays in obtaining approvals could push back launches and impact sales guidance. Management noted that approvals are generally on track but remain a constraint.
Q2 FY25 · mediumA significant portion of bookings comes from NCR and Bengaluru; any slowdown in these markets could impact overall performance.
Q3 FY25 · mediumNCR sales were flattish in nine months due to a high base from last year; management expects growth but at a lower percentage compared to other markets.
Q3 FY25 · mediumTwo planned Q3 launches slipped to Q4 due to approval timing; Worli launch remains uncertain (50/50 chance this year).
Q1 FY25 · lowGodrej Reserve faces potential approval issues (though management says no notice received), and a 10-year-old Chandigarh project received a notice regarding OC revocation.
Q2 FY25 · lowConstruction outflows are expected to increase in H2 as projects progress, which could pressure cash flows if not managed efficiently.
Q3 FY25 · lowMultiple developers planning large premium projects could lead to oversupply; management believes different customer segments mitigate risk.
Q3 FY25 · lowManagement noted overall economic slowdown in India and global uncertainty, but expects interest rate cuts and government measures to support sentiment.
What changed through the year
Q1 FY25 · FY25 booking value guidance of INR 27,000 crore
Management is confident of meeting or exceeding the annual booking guidance of INR 27,000 crore, supported by a strong Q1 start and robust launch pipeline.
Q1 FY25 · FY25 collections guidance of INR 15,000 crore
Collections are expected to ramp up in H2, with average quarterly collections of INR 3,750 crore needed to meet the target. Q1 collections were INR 3,012 crore.
Q1 FY25 · Q2 FY25 business development to be strong
Management expects Q2 to be another good quarter for business development additions, with a strong pipeline across top four markets.
Q1 FY25 · Ashok Vihar launch expected by Q4 FY25
The Ashok Vihar project in NCR is delayed due to tree removal approvals, but management hopes to launch by Q4 FY25 if possible.
Q2 FY25 · Annual bookings guidance likely to be surpassed
Management indicated they are on track to exceed the annual bookings guidance, given strong H1 performance and a robust H2 launch pipeline.
Q2 FY25 · Target EBITDA margin of 25-30%
Management reiterated their target of achieving 25-30% EBITDA margins on new projects, with underwriting based on current prices without assuming price inflation.
Q2 FY25 · Target net profit margin of ~15% through cycle
Management guided for a net profit margin of around 15% through the cycle, though it may be higher in the near term due to margin expansion.
Q2 FY25 · Planned launches for H2 FY25 include Worli, Golf Course Road, Noida Sector 44
Management outlined a strong launch pipeline for the second half, including projects in Worli (Q4), Golf Course Road in Gurgaon, and Sector 44 in Noida.
Q3 FY25 · FY25 booking value guidance of ₹27,000 crore
Management is confident of meeting and exceeding the annual booking value guidance of ₹27,000 crore, with 71% already achieved in nine months.
Q3 FY25 · Business development guidance of ₹20,000 crore for FY25
Year-to-date, 12 new projects added with estimated booking value potential of ₹23,450 crore, exceeding the annual guidance.
Q3 FY25 · Q4 FY25 launch pipeline includes multiple large projects
Planned launches include Hyderabad, Noida Sector 44, Gurgaon Sohna Road, Bangalore (66-acre parcel), Pune Hinjewadi, Indore, Kolkata, and Mumbai (multiple projects).
Q3 FY25 · Net debt upper cap of ₹10,000 crore
Management intends to keep net debt below ₹10,000 crore to manage risk, with current net debt-to-equity at 0.23 providing headroom.