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Godrej Consumer Products FY24 Annual Earnings Summary

3 quarters covered · ₹10,711 Cr revenue · ₹1,333 Cr PAT · 6.7% average EBITDA margin.

Total annual revenue: ₹10,711 Cr
Annual PAT: ₹1,333 Cr
Average margin: 6.7%
Promise delivery: 0%

Quarter-by-quarter progression

QuarterRevenuePATMarginSentiment
Q1 FY24₹3,449 Cr₹319 Crbullish
Q2 FY24₹3,602 Cr₹433 Cr20.0%neutral
Q3 FY24₹3,660 Cr₹581 Crbullish

Management promises made during the year

Nigeria profitability guidance intact

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q2 FY24
missed

Risks flagged during the year

Q1 FY24 · medium

The naira devaluation from NGN 450 to 750 per USD will optically reduce INR sales growth by ~200bps and complicate P&L reading, though management expects to pass on costs.

Q1 FY24 · medium

Management noted tough market conditions in India; if demand does not recover, volume growth may slow despite market development investments.

Q1 FY24 · medium

Analyst raised concern about sharp EBITDA loss in Raymond portfolio; management expects improvement but Q2 may still see pain, with full-year high single-digit margin guidance at risk if synergies lag.

Q2 FY24 · medium

Management noted a K-shaped recovery with premium doing well but mass segments under pressure, which could impact volume growth.

Q2 FY24 · medium

Despite improvement, the category continues to lose share to illegal incense sticks, though the rate of loss has moderated.

Q2 FY24 · medium

The move to an asset-light model in East Africa involves one-time costs and non-cash charges; details are still being worked out.

Q3 FY24 · medium

Argentine peso devaluation from 361 to 808 has impacted nine months of revenue, with mid-single-digit negative impact on consolidated sales.

Q3 FY24 · medium

Analyst raised concern that disruptive pricing in liquid detergent could be quickly copied by larger players; management acknowledged but expressed confidence.

Q3 FY24 · medium

Illegal incense sticks offer higher trade margins; management plans to use direct distribution to counter but risk remains.

Q1 FY24 · low

Management cautioned against declaring victory in HI despite two strong quarters, citing need for more efficacious products and regulatory hurdles for new molecules.

Q2 FY24 · low

An analyst raised the possibility of local players becoming aggressive in soaps; management acknowledged it could be happening in some regions but not a major factor yet.

What changed through the year

G

Q1 FY24 · Nigeria profitability guidance intact

Management expects to pass on cost increases from naira devaluation (NGN 650 to 750) to consumers, keeping EBITDA plus Forex loss line intact.

G

Q1 FY24 · Raymond portfolio: high single-digit EBITDA margin for FY24

Management reiterated ambition of high single-digit EBITDA margin for the Raymond portfolio on a full-year basis, with improvements from Q2 onwards.

G

Q1 FY24 · INR 900 crore organic CapEx in India over 18-36 months

Planned investment of INR 900 crore in organic manufacturing CapEx in India for volume growth and logistics, with ~INR 300 crore per year.

G

Q1 FY24 · Raymond portfolio: flat net sales YoY for FY24

Management maintained guidance of flat net sales year-on-year for the Raymond portfolio, despite downstocking and returns in Q1.

G

Q2 FY24 · Full-year guidance on track for organic and acquired businesses

Management expects to achieve the annual guidance for both organic and acquired businesses, with phasing more favorable to Q4 than Q3.

G

Q2 FY24 · Steady improvement in EBITDA margins

EBITDA margin of 20% is expected to improve steadily through structural cost reduction actions, particularly from Indonesia and GAUM.

G

Q2 FY24 · Africa restructuring to add ~INR 50 crore profit in FY25

Reorganizing East African hair fashion to an asset-light royalty model will eliminate ~INR 500 crore revenue but add ~INR 50 crore profit in FY25.

G

Q2 FY24 · Dividend payout ratio ~50% of annual PAT

Board approved INR 5 per share dividend; management targets average payout ratio of about 50% of annual profit after tax.

G

Q3 FY24 · EBITDA margin steady improvement

Management anticipates steady improvement in EBITDA margins through structural cost reduction actions.

G

Q3 FY24 · Household insecticide volume growth of 8-9%

Rightful volume growth in household insecticide is about 1.2x GDP, implying 8-9% volume growth.

G

Q3 FY24 · Air freshener growth in high teens to early 20s

Air freshener category should grow in high teens to early 20s for some years to come.