Risk Intelligence
Elevated credit costs in FY27
View Risks →ESAF Small Finance Bank reported Q4 FY26 PAT of ₹24 crore, a sharp sequential improvement from ₹7 crore in Q3, driven by portfolio rebalancing toward secured assets (now 61% of advances) and lower slippages.
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ESAF Small Finance Bank reported Q4 FY26 PAT of ₹24 crore, a sharp sequential improvement from ₹7 crore in Q3, driven by portfolio rebalancing toward secured assets (now 61% of advances) and lower slippages. Gross NPA declined to 5.4% from 6.9% YoY, while NIM expanded to 7.3% from 6.6% QoQ. Disbursements grew 88% YoY to ₹12,926 crore, with 78% in secured loans. Management guided for steady-state credit cost of 2% by FY28 and ROA target of 2%, supported by a 20-25% loan growth trajectory and cost-to-income ratio of ~65%. Key risk: elevated credit costs may persist through FY27 due to legacy NPA provisioning.
Elevated credit costs in FY27
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Read Transcript →Improved from 6.9% a year ago, reflecting better asset quality.
Declined from 3.0% YoY, indicating lower stress.
Reduced from 10.47% in FY25, driven by better collections.
Increased from 53% last year, targeting 70% by March 2027.
The bank expects annual loan growth of 20-25%, excluding IBPC sales, supported by network leverage.
Management reiterated the goal to increase secured loan share to 70% by end of FY27, up from 61% currently.
CFO guided that normalized credit cost will be around 2% from FY28 onwards, as legacy provisioning clears.
Management expects to achieve a return on assets of 2% by FY28, with traction visible in the next two quarters.
Management expects loan book growth of around 25% in FY27, up from ~15% in FY26.
CFO acknowledged that backlog provisioning on NPA stock will continue through FY27, keeping credit costs above steady-state 2%.
As the bank shifts to secured lending (lower yields), NIM may trail loan growth; management guided NIM around 7% plus/minus 0.5%.
Core banking upgrade (Bank 2.0) is expected to complete by Q3 FY27; delays could impact operational efficiency.
Despite stabilization, the microfinance book still carries elevated NPA levels and write-offs of ₹1,008 crore in 9M FY26.
Management indicated ROA normalization to 1.5-2% may take until FY28, implying near-term profitability pressure.
Backlog of NPAs to be absorbed may keep credit costs elevated in the near term, delaying margin recovery.
Management reiterated the goal to increase secured loan share to 70% by end of FY27, up from 61% currently.
CFO acknowledged that backlog provisioning on NPA stock will continue through FY27, keeping credit costs above steady-state 2%.
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