Dixon Technologies FY26 Annual Earnings Summary
3 quarters covered · ₹36,038 Cr revenue · ₹1,365 Cr PAT · 4.0% average EBITDA margin.
Quarter-by-quarter progression
Management promises made during the year
Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q4 FY26Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q4 FY26Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q4 FY26Risks flagged during the year
PN3 approval for Vivo JV is pending; management expects it 'shortly' but cannot commit to timeline, risking FY27 volume guidance.
Q3 FY26 · highSharp increase in memory prices globally is pressuring low-end smartphone demand, potentially reducing volumes for Dixon's key customers.
Q4 FY26 · highThe Vivo joint venture approval is pending with the government, which could delay a significant volume and revenue opportunity.
Q2 FY26 · mediumIf the mobile PLI scheme is not extended beyond March 2026, there could be margin pressure for a couple of quarters before display and camera module benefits fully materialize.
Q2 FY26 · mediumThe reduction in GST rates in mid-August caused a significant postponement of purchases, particularly for TVs, refrigerators, and washing machines, which was not fully recovered by quarter-end.
Q2 FY26 · mediumDomestic IT hardware manufacturing currently faces a 4-5% cost disability versus imports, which management aims to offset through component localization over the next 7-8 months.
Q3 FY26 · mediumIf PLI scheme is not extended, mobile margins could be impacted by ~0.5%, though backward integration may offset by FY28.
Q3 FY26 · mediumOne anchor customer has started allocating volume to another EMS provider, though Dixon's absolute volumes from that customer still grew YoY.
Q4 FY26 · mediumThe expiry of PLI schemes for mobile phones will pressure margins by 50-70 bps, partially offset by operational efficiency and backward integration.
Q4 FY26 · mediumRising memory chip prices have increased smartphone ASPs, leading to softer consumer demand and flat volumes in the mobile segment.
Q4 FY26 · medium₹1,380 crore of PLI receivables are pending from the government, with a note in accounts highlighting potential risk if budget allocations are insufficient.
Q2 FY26 · lowPromoter family has sold ~5% stake over the last 12 quarters, reducing combined promoter holding to ~42%. Management stated no further dilution is expected.
What changed through the year
Q2 FY26 · Mobile phone volumes of 55-60 million units in FY27
Management expects mobile phone volumes to reach 55-60 million units in FY27, up from 40-42 million in FY26, driven by new ODM customer and Longcheer JV.
Q2 FY26 · Telecom segment to reach ~$1 billion in a couple of years
Telecom business, including new microwave radio orders, is expected to grow to approximately $1 billion in revenue within two years.
Q2 FY26 · IT hardware revenue of ₹4,000-5,000 crore in 2 years
IT hardware business, including the Inventec JV, is expected to reach ₹4,000-5,000 crore in revenue over the next two years.
Q2 FY26 · EBITDA margin expansion to 4.5-5% in 3-4 years
Management guided that EBITDA margins could improve to around 4.5-5% over the next 3-4 years as backward integration and operating leverage kick in.
Q3 FY26 · Mobile business margin 2.8-3.2%
Management expects mobile phone business margins to remain in the 2.8-3.2% range over the next 12 months, including PLI benefits.
Q3 FY26 · IT hardware revenue ₹3,500-4,000 crore in FY27
IT hardware segment revenue expected to grow to ₹3,500-4,000 crore in FY27, driven by strong order book from HP and Asus.
Q3 FY26 · Display JV mass production by Q2 FY27
HKC JV display module production to start trials in Q1 FY27 and mass production by Q2 FY27, with initial capacity of 24M units for smartphones.
Q3 FY26 · Longcheer JV operational by Q2 FY27
Longcheer JV facility of 400,000 sq ft to be operational by Q2 FY27, with initial capacity of 18M units, expanding to IoT and smart glasses.
Q4 FY26 · FY27 revenue target of ~₹56,000 crore (ex-Vivo)
Management targets ~₹56,000 crore revenue for FY27, implying 15-17% growth, assuming flat mobile volumes and excluding Vivo JV.
Q4 FY26 · IT hardware revenue >₹4,000 crore in FY27
IT hardware segment expected to grow 3x to over ₹4,000 crore in FY27, driven by strong order books and new customer wins.
Q4 FY26 · Telecom revenue target of ₹7,500-8,000 crore in FY27
Telecom and networking segment targets ₹7,500-8,000 crore revenue in FY27, up from ₹5,000 crore in FY26.
Q4 FY26 · Lighting revenue to double to ~₹1,700 crore in FY27
Lighting segment expects 2x revenue growth to ~₹1,700 crore in FY27, driven by JV with Signify and export orders.