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Dixon Technologies (India) FY24 Annual Earnings Summary

3 quarters covered · ₹12,768 Cr revenue · ₹261 Cr PAT · 4.0% average EBITDA margin.

Total annual revenue: ₹12,768 Cr
Annual PAT: ₹261 Cr
Average margin: 4.0%
Promise delivery: 0%

Quarter-by-quarter progression

QuarterRevenuePATMarginSentiment
Q1 FY24₹3,272 Cr₹67 Cr4.0%bullish
Q3 FY24₹4,821 Cr₹97 Cr3.9%bullish
Q4 FY24₹4,675 Cr₹97 Cr4.3%bullish

Management promises made during the year

Mobile phone volumes to scale significantly in H2

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q3 FY24
missed
Refrigerator commercial production in Q3 FY24

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q3 FY24
missed
Mobile operating margin to remain at ~3.2% with 10-20 bps improvement

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q4 FY24
missed
IT hardware production start: tablets in Q4 FY24, notebooks by Aug-Sep 2024

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q4 FY24
missed

Risks flagged during the year

Q3 FY24 · high

Mobile & EMS contributed 67% of revenue; any slowdown in customer ramp-up or loss of market share could impact overall growth.

Q1 FY24 · medium

Consumer electronics and lighting segments saw flat/declining revenues due to sluggish demand and pricing pressure; recovery uncertain.

Q1 FY24 · medium

Production for Xiaomi and Itel is starting in September; any delays in approvals or scaling could impact revenue guidance.

Q1 FY24 · medium

Management acknowledged increased competition from a multinational TV entrant and brand players in lighting, potentially pressuring market share.

Q3 FY24 · medium

Lighting revenue declined due to price erosion and subdued demand; competitive intensity remains high, especially from other contract manufacturers.

Q3 FY24 · medium

TV volumes declined sequentially despite value growth; wearables saw seasonal dip post-Diwali. Overall consumer demand remains soft.

Q3 FY24 · medium

Reduction in import duties on components could reduce the arbitrage for local manufacturing, potentially impacting plans for display and module manufacturing.

Q4 FY24 · medium

New customer programs (Xiaomi, Realme, Compal) may face delays in volume ramp-up, impacting revenue and margin targets.

Q4 FY24 · medium

CCI approval for the Ismartu deal is pending; any delay could postpone consolidation and volume contribution from Q2 FY25.

Q4 FY24 · medium

As mobile & EMS (lower margin) becomes a larger share of revenue, blended margins could face headwinds despite operating leverage.

Q4 FY24 · medium

Lighting revenue declined 27% YoY and consumer electronics fell 10.9% YoY in Q4; recovery may take longer than expected.

Q1 FY24 · low

The JV with Tinno Group is stalled pending government BIS Phase 3 approval, with no clear timeline for resolution.

What changed through the year

G

Q1 FY24 · Mobile phone volumes to scale significantly in H2

Motorola volumes expected to increase to 2 million per quarter from Q3, and Itel/Xiaomi production to ramp up from September.

G

Q1 FY24 · Refrigerator commercial production in Q3 FY24

New 1.2 million unit capacity refrigerator plant in Greater Noida to start commercial production in October-December quarter.

G

Q1 FY24 · CapEx of INR 400-420 crore for FY24

Capital expenditure guided at INR 400-420 crore for the full year, primarily for mobile expansion, refrigerator project, and new facilities.

G

Q1 FY24 · Lighting export opportunity of $200 million in 2-3 years

Management sees potential to build a $200 million export business in lighting over the next couple of years, driven by Europe and US.

G

Q3 FY24 · Mobile volumes of ~25 million units in FY25

Management expects to produce around 25 million smartphones in FY25, driven by existing customers and two new large global brands.

G

Q3 FY24 · Mobile operating margin to remain at ~3.2% with 10-20 bps improvement

Despite start-up costs, management expects mobile margins to sustain in the 3.2% range with potential slight improvement.

G

Q3 FY24 · Capex of ~INR 400 crore for FY25

Similar level of capex as FY24, subject to budget finalization, to support capacity expansion and new customer programs.

G

Q3 FY24 · IT hardware production start: tablets in Q4 FY24, notebooks by Aug-Sep 2024

Mass production for Lenovo tablets to start in current quarter; notebooks expected by August-September 2024.

G

Q4 FY24 · FY25 smartphone volumes of 28-30 million (ex-Samsung)

Management guided for FY25 smartphone volumes of 28-30 million units, excluding Samsung, up from 6.5 million in FY24.

G

Q4 FY24 · EBITDA margin around 4% for FY25

CFO Saurabh Gupta indicated that consolidated EBITDA margin should be around 4% for FY25, similar to FY24 levels.

G

Q4 FY24 · CapEx for FY25 lower than ₹570 crore

Management expects FY25 capital expenditure to be lower than the ₹570 crore spent in FY24, with major capacities already created.

G

Q4 FY24 · Display module manufacturing investment of $30 million

Planned investment of $30 million (₹250 crore) for a 25 million unit display module facility in Delhi NCR, with technology partner finalized.