Data Patterns (India) FY26 Annual Earnings Summary
3 quarters covered · ₹1,406 Cr revenue · ₹378 Cr PAT · 35.3% average EBITDA margin.
Quarter-by-quarter progression
Management promises made during the year
Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q3 FY26Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q3 FY26Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q4 FY26Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q4 FY26Risks flagged during the year
The ₹180 crore strategic contract executed at competitive pricing compressed EBITDA margins to 22%; similar future contracts could pressure margins.
Q2 FY26 · medium₹550 crore of orders are negotiated but not yet confirmed; delays in MOD approvals could push inflows beyond H2.
Q2 FY26 · mediumWorking capital days at 343, though expected to improve; any delay in customer payments could strain cash flows.
Q2 FY26 · mediumManagement acknowledged that foreign companies with mature products and tie-ups with Indian firms pose competition, especially in export markets.
Q3 FY26 · mediumOrders negotiated but not yet awarded (₹1,100 crore) may face delays, impacting near-term revenue visibility.
Q3 FY26 · mediumCash on hand is at lowest in eight quarters; working capital days at ~340, though expected to improve with collections.
Q3 FY26 · mediumIncreasing number of players entering radar and EW space could pressure margins; management differentiates via IP and system-level offerings.
Q4 FY26 · mediumGovernment contract timelines are unpredictable; delays in approvals or customer readiness could impact revenue recognition.
Q4 FY26 · mediumAnalyst noted that the ₹1,000 crore negotiated orders were expected earlier but have been delayed; management now expects conversion in 1-2 months.
Q4 FY26 · mediumManagement acknowledged competition from foreign OEMs and domestic players like Astra Microwave, which could impact market share.
Q3 FY26 · lowBusiness heavily reliant on government contracts; any slowdown in defense allocations could impact order inflows.
Q4 FY26 · lowDespite improvement in cash conversion cycle, cash flow from operations has been weak historically; management expects further improvement but no specific target.
What changed through the year
Q2 FY26 · Full-year revenue and EBITDA margin guidance reaffirmed
Management confirmed confidence in achieving earlier guidance on revenue and margins, with margins expected to improve in H2 due to better product mix.
Q2 FY26 · Order inflows expected to exceed ₹1,000 crore in H2
Management expects more than ₹1,000 crore in order inflows in H2, including conversion of ₹550 crore negotiated orders and additional large contracts.
Q2 FY26 · BrahMos seeker contract expected soon
Negotiations for the BrahMos seeker contract are complete; contract expected to be signed and could lead to production orders.
Q2 FY26 · Export focus with dedicated team and co-development agreements
Management plans to set up a dedicated export team and has signed co-development agreements with foreign MNCs for worldwide radar and EW requirements.
Q3 FY26 · Revenue growth 20-25% over medium term
Management expects to deliver 20-25% revenue growth over the medium term, supported by strong order book and pipeline.
Q3 FY26 · Healthy EBITDA margins maintained
EBITDA margins expected to remain healthy, similar to historical levels, though mix-dependent.
Q3 FY26 · Working capital days to reduce to 270-300 days over 3-5 years
Working capital cycle expected to gradually improve from current ~340 days to 270-300 days as collections improve.
Q3 FY26 · Seeker production orders expected in FY26-27
BrahMos seeker development complete; production orders expected in FY26-27 after delivery of development units.
Q4 FY26 · Revenue growth of 20-25% in FY27
Management expects revenue to grow 20-25% in the short term, driven by strong order book and repeat orders.
Q4 FY26 · EBITDA margin of 38-40%
Management guided for healthy EBITDA margins of 38-40% going forward, supported by operational efficiencies.
Q4 FY26 · Additional orders of ₹1,500-2,000 crore in FY27
Management expects order inflows of ₹1,500-2,000 crore in FY27, including ₹900 crore of repeat orders from existing programs.
Q4 FY26 · Negotiated orders of ₹1,000 crore to convert in 1-2 months
Management expects the negotiated orders of approximately ₹1,000 crore to be finalized in the next 1-2 months.