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Data Patterns (India) FY26 Annual Earnings Summary

3 quarters covered · ₹1,406 Cr revenue · ₹378 Cr PAT · 35.3% average EBITDA margin.

Total annual revenue: ₹1,406 Cr
Annual PAT: ₹378 Cr
Average margin: 35.3%
Promise delivery: 0%

Quarter-by-quarter progression

QuarterRevenuePATMarginSentiment
Q2 FY26₹308 Cr₹49 Cr22.0%bullish
Q3 FY26₹173 Cr₹58 Cr44.0%bullish
Q4 FY26₹925 Cr₹271 Cr40.0%bullish

Management promises made during the year

Order inflows expected to exceed ₹1,000 crore in H2

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q3 FY26
missed
BrahMos seeker contract expected soon

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q3 FY26
missed
Healthy EBITDA margins maintained

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q4 FY26
missed
Seeker production orders expected in FY26-27

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q4 FY26
missed

Risks flagged during the year

Q2 FY26 · medium

The ₹180 crore strategic contract executed at competitive pricing compressed EBITDA margins to 22%; similar future contracts could pressure margins.

Q2 FY26 · medium

₹550 crore of orders are negotiated but not yet confirmed; delays in MOD approvals could push inflows beyond H2.

Q2 FY26 · medium

Working capital days at 343, though expected to improve; any delay in customer payments could strain cash flows.

Q2 FY26 · medium

Management acknowledged that foreign companies with mature products and tie-ups with Indian firms pose competition, especially in export markets.

Q3 FY26 · medium

Orders negotiated but not yet awarded (₹1,100 crore) may face delays, impacting near-term revenue visibility.

Q3 FY26 · medium

Cash on hand is at lowest in eight quarters; working capital days at ~340, though expected to improve with collections.

Q3 FY26 · medium

Increasing number of players entering radar and EW space could pressure margins; management differentiates via IP and system-level offerings.

Q4 FY26 · medium

Government contract timelines are unpredictable; delays in approvals or customer readiness could impact revenue recognition.

Q4 FY26 · medium

Analyst noted that the ₹1,000 crore negotiated orders were expected earlier but have been delayed; management now expects conversion in 1-2 months.

Q4 FY26 · medium

Management acknowledged competition from foreign OEMs and domestic players like Astra Microwave, which could impact market share.

Q3 FY26 · low

Business heavily reliant on government contracts; any slowdown in defense allocations could impact order inflows.

Q4 FY26 · low

Despite improvement in cash conversion cycle, cash flow from operations has been weak historically; management expects further improvement but no specific target.

What changed through the year

G

Q2 FY26 · Full-year revenue and EBITDA margin guidance reaffirmed

Management confirmed confidence in achieving earlier guidance on revenue and margins, with margins expected to improve in H2 due to better product mix.

G

Q2 FY26 · Order inflows expected to exceed ₹1,000 crore in H2

Management expects more than ₹1,000 crore in order inflows in H2, including conversion of ₹550 crore negotiated orders and additional large contracts.

G

Q2 FY26 · BrahMos seeker contract expected soon

Negotiations for the BrahMos seeker contract are complete; contract expected to be signed and could lead to production orders.

G

Q2 FY26 · Export focus with dedicated team and co-development agreements

Management plans to set up a dedicated export team and has signed co-development agreements with foreign MNCs for worldwide radar and EW requirements.

G

Q3 FY26 · Revenue growth 20-25% over medium term

Management expects to deliver 20-25% revenue growth over the medium term, supported by strong order book and pipeline.

G

Q3 FY26 · Healthy EBITDA margins maintained

EBITDA margins expected to remain healthy, similar to historical levels, though mix-dependent.

G

Q3 FY26 · Working capital days to reduce to 270-300 days over 3-5 years

Working capital cycle expected to gradually improve from current ~340 days to 270-300 days as collections improve.

G

Q3 FY26 · Seeker production orders expected in FY26-27

BrahMos seeker development complete; production orders expected in FY26-27 after delivery of development units.

G

Q4 FY26 · Revenue growth of 20-25% in FY27

Management expects revenue to grow 20-25% in the short term, driven by strong order book and repeat orders.

G

Q4 FY26 · EBITDA margin of 38-40%

Management guided for healthy EBITDA margins of 38-40% going forward, supported by operational efficiencies.

G

Q4 FY26 · Additional orders of ₹1,500-2,000 crore in FY27

Management expects order inflows of ₹1,500-2,000 crore in FY27, including ₹900 crore of repeat orders from existing programs.

G

Q4 FY26 · Negotiated orders of ₹1,000 crore to convert in 1-2 months

Management expects the negotiated orders of approximately ₹1,000 crore to be finalized in the next 1-2 months.