Cummins India Management Guidance Tracker
18 forward-looking guidance items tracked across 7 quarters.
Revenue
Management expects full-year revenue growth of 12-14%, in line with 2x GDP growth ambition.
Q2 FY25Double-digit revenue growth for FY25ActiveManagement expects overall revenue to grow in double digits for the full fiscal year 2024-25.
Q3 FY25Double-digit revenue growth for FY25ActiveManagement expects full-year revenue growth to be double-digit over FY24.
Q4 FY25Double-digit revenue growth in FY26TrackedManagement expects overall revenue to grow at double-digit rate in FY2025-26, driven by domestic demand across power gen, distribution, and industrial segments.
Q1 FY26Double-digit revenue growth for FY26TrackedManagement expects full-year revenue growth in double digits, driven by sustained domestic demand and cautious export optimism.
Q2 FY26Double-digit revenue growth for FY26TrackedManagement expects full-year revenue growth in double digits over FY25, despite lumpy data center execution and export softness.
Q3 FY26Double-digit revenue growth for FY26TrackedManagement expects double-digit revenue growth over previous fiscal year, supported by demand across key segments.
Other
Growth
Management sees distribution business growing at >20% CAGR for at least a decade, driven by service and parts.
Q4 FY25Distribution business to grow double-digit or betterTrackedManagement is positive on distribution business growth, expecting it to continue at double-digit or higher rate, driven by penetration and new products.
Q2 FY26Data center execution lumpy; H2 likely lower than Q2ActiveData center project execution in Q2 was unusually high; management does not expect similar levels in H2.
Q2 FY26Export order intake softening due to inventory correctionActiveManagement sees softening in export orders in the coming quarter due to channel inventory correction in end markets.
Q3 FY26Target double-digit domestic growth for FY27TrackedDomestic business targets double-digit growth in FY27, driven by infrastructure and data center demand.
Capex
CapEx will be added as needed for manufacturing capability and new product introductions.
Q4 FY25Capex to remain in similar range as FY25TrackedCapital expenditure for FY26 is expected to be around INR 340 crore, similar to FY25, primarily for sustenance and line upgrades.
Q1 FY26Continued CapEx investmentTrackedCapEx will continue at similar levels to recent years (around INR 225 crore annually) for capacity expansion and line upgrades.