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What the record says.
SBI delivered a strong Q2 FY25 with PAT of INR 18,331 crore (+28% YoY), driven by robust credit growth of 14.93% YoY and stable asset quality (slippage ratio 0.51%, credit cost 0.38%). Domestic advances grew 15.55% YoY, led by corporate (18%), agri (17%), and SME (17%). Deposits crossed INR 50 trillion milestone, though growth lagged at 9.13% YoY. Management reiterated 14-16% credit growth guidance and expects deposit growth to improve to 10-10.5%. Margins are expected to remain stable with MCLR hikes providing cushion. Key risk: potential stress in unsecured lending segments (Xpress Credit growth slowed to 7% YoY) and elevated SMA-1 book, though management sees recovery in H2.
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Guidance to track
- Management expects domestic credit growth to remain in the 14-16% range, supported by strong corporate pipeline and retail segments.
- Efforts to mobilize deposits through data analytics and branch-level focus aim to push deposit growth above 10%.
- Management guides for ROA of at least 1%, with potential upside from non-interest income and cost control.
- Slippage ratio expected below 60 bps and credit cost below 40 bps, with PCR at 75.66% providing buffer.
Risks flagged
- Xpress Credit grew only 7% YoY due to high repayments and process re-engineering; management expects double-digit growth in H2 but uncertainty remains.
- SMA-1 book jumped due to a large account (INR 9,000 crore) which has since regularized, but any recurrence could impact asset quality.
- Deposit growth at 9.13% YoY trails credit growth of 14.93%, potentially constraining future lending if not addressed.
- Other income boosted by trading gains and forex; sustainability depends on yield movements, which are uncertain.
Key quotes
- We are confident that 14%-16% credit growth rate happens.
- Our effort is to contain the cost-to-income ratio below 50%.
- We hope to maintain at least 1% ROA. Anything extra is the bonus.
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