PNBHOUSING / Q3-FY26 / risks

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PNB Housing Finance · Material risks, their source context, and severity in the latest available quarter.

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Risk intelligence

Material risks this quarter

BT-out pressure and runoff normalization

Repayment rate increased from 15-16% to 19% due to balance transfer outs triggered by rate cuts. Management expects this to remain elevated at 18-19% till rates stabilize, impacting portfolio yield.

medium

Affordable segment recalibration in southern markets

Tamil Nadu and southern markets faced challenges due to MFI ordinance affecting collections. Management recalibrated ticket sizes and policies in Q2-Q3; ordinance has now been retracted but competitive intensity may have changed.

medium

Concentration risk in new construction finance/developer segments

Company entering riskier business segments (construction finance with 12-12.5% yield, developer finance with 11-14% yield) despite maintaining 8-10% exposure cap. Rating upgrade expectations tied to capital position may face scrutiny if asset quality deteriorates.

medium

Mathematical challenge in sustaining ROA

Multiple analysts highlighted that maintaining 2.5-2.6% ROA requires ~50bps NIM expansion post credit cost normalization (from -19bps to +20-25bps). Management cited new segment yields as offset but no specific quantification provided for FY28+.

high