PFC Q2 FY26 earnings call.
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What the record says.
PFC delivered a 17% YoY PAT growth in H1 FY26 (standalone PAT INR 8,960 crore), driven by 23% growth in net interest income, reflecting strong disbursement momentum of INR 86,000 crore (+30% H1-on-H1). Loan asset book grew 14% YoY to INR 5.61 lakh crore on standalone basis. Asset quality improved sharply: gross NPA declined 84bps YoY to 1.87%, net NPA at 0.37% (10-year low), with KSK Mahanadi resolution accounting for bulk of the improvement. Stage-3 book stands at INR 10,490 crore with 80% provisioning. The company maintained its 10-11% loan book growth guidance for FY26, expecting H2 disbursements to match H1 pace. Key risk: INR 1,100 crore exchange loss in H1 (primarily EUR/USD unhedged exposure; 11% of book EUR-denominated, 5% unhedged) remains a P&L volatility item. RBI's draft risk weight circular (effective April 2026) is under review — potential CRAR impact is unclear. Competitive intensity from IRFC, NABARD, and NaBFID is rising. FY26 ROE guidance anchored around 20%.
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Guidance to track
- Management reiterated full-year guidance of 10-11% loan book growth. H1 growth of ~14% YoY was partly driven by lower base and strong disbursements; H2 expected to moderate as repayments/prepayments absorb part of the growth.
- CRAR at 21.62% (Tier-1: 19.89%) vs regulatory minimum ~15%, providing headroom for growth. Maintaining ~30% dividend payout of PAT.
- 1% provisioning required during construction phase, 0.40% during operational phase. PFC's existing ECL provisioning (~1.01% on Stage 1+2) exceeds these minimums; any incremental requirement to be booked through impairment reserve without P&L impact.
- Draft introduces 50%/75% risk weight split for commissioned infrastructure assets vs current uniform 50%. Under review; implications on CRAR being assessed across generation, transmission, and distribution portfolios.
Risks flagged
- H1 saw INR 1,100 crore exchange loss on unhedged EUR portfolio (11% of loan book EUR-denominated; 5% unhedged). Management expects gradual reversal as EUR/USD normalizes, but timing is market-dependent and not guaranteed.
- Draft circular effective April 2026 could reclassify infrastructure exposures from 50% to 75% risk weight for some assets, potentially compressing CRAR. Management has not quantified the impact.
- Two generation projects accounted for ~INR 10,000 crore of prepayments in H1. Rising refinancing by borrowers to lower-cost lenders is a structural headwind to maintaining even 10-11% growth guidance.
- GOM committee reviewing DISCOM viability; if bailout similar to UDAY materializes, large accelerated prepayments could disrupt loan growth trajectory. Management declined to quantify impact awaiting government report.
Key quotes
- There has been definitely competition on various fronts. Earlier, we had competition with the banks. Now, we have IRFC, HUDCO, NABARD, and NaBFID also. There is definitely competition in the market, but I would say there is enough scope for each one of us to grow.
- With a lot of routine repayments also, even if we have to grow at 10%-11%, we have to disburse around INR 2 lakh crore. And to grow at a base of last year, INR 5,41,000 crore itself is a huge amount. We would like to be prudent in our approach in lending.
- In case of euro, we have longer maturities, which is starting from four to five years and going up to eight to nine years in view of the multilateral loans. In such cases, with the strengthening of the dollar in the near future, we are expecting that these losses will be reversed gradually from quarter to quarter.
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