OILANDNATURALGAS / Q2-FY26 / risks

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Oil and Natural · Material risks, their source context, and severity in the latest available quarter.

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WatchQ2-FY26 · 2025-11-10Back to quarter ↗

Risk intelligence

Material risks this quarter

FY26 Production Shortfall vs Original Guidance

Crude oil guidance trimmed to ~20 MMT from 21 MMT target; gas guidance slightly below 21.5 BCM. Production deferment to Q1 FY27 from delayed KG 98X2 living quarters installation (Dec-Jan monsoon period impact).

medium

Mozambique LNG Force Majeure and Capex Escalation

Force majeure still not formally lifted pending partner ballot (expected within days); project cost may exceed approved $18.2 billion requiring additional DACF approval. OVL's total exposure ~$8.8 billion including $6.6 billion equity already invested.

high

Vietnam Block 6.1 Cessation

Production ceased from July 1, 2025 as uneconomical; awaiting Vietnam government to develop PC area for potential resumption.

medium

KG 98X2 Oil Production Decline

Oil production at KG 98X2 declined to 28,000 bbl/day from 30,000 bbl/day last quarter due to well activity issues; recovery dependent on intervention results, not guaranteed.

medium