Inventory and Working Capital Risk
Inventory days increased due to shipping delays (Europe to India takes 20+ days) requiring 45-60 days of buffer stock; carrying unhedged inventory exposes the company to commodity price fluctuations.
Nupur Recyclers · risk themes across the available quarters.
Bear-case history
Inventory days increased due to shipping delays (Europe to India takes 20+ days) requiring 45-60 days of buffer stock; carrying unhedged inventory exposes the company to commodity price fluctuations.
Management acknowledged geopolitical tensions can force inventory increases; multi-geography sourcing mitigates but does not eliminate country-specific risks for specialized scrap grades.
Company explicitly does not hedge USD, EUR, or GBP exposure and operates on spot pricing; this exposes margins to currency and metal price swings unlike larger listed peers.
Analyst raised concern about import restrictions on lithium-ion batteries; management stated licenses are required but not banned — a risk that regulatory tightening could delay battery recycling ramp-up.