MUTHOOTCAP / guidance tracker

Keep management guidance in view.

Muthoot Capital Services · forward-looking guidance across the available source record.

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Guidance tracker

What management said would happen.

FY27 AUM Target: ₹4,200 Crore

Management confirmed the previously guided AUM range for FY27 remains intact despite Q1 growth being below industry rates, expecting acceleration from Q2 onward as the internal scorecard model scales up.

growth

Long-term AUM Vision: ₹10,000 Crore by FY28-29

The ₹10,000 crore AUM target for FY28-29 remains intact, contingent on macroeconomic conditions, with growth expected to come predominantly from CV, CE, and used car segments.

growth

Asset Quality Guidance: Sub-4% Retail GNPA

Retail GNPA expected to remain sub-4% throughout FY27 given new portfolio (last 14 months) is showing only ~1% GNPA, with NPA expected to stay sub-2%.

quality

Borrowing Cost Reduction: Additional 40-50 bps

Following the AA- rating upgrade, management expects incremental borrowing costs to decline by another 40-50 basis points in upcoming deals, building on the 80 bps reduction already achieved YoY.

margins

AUM Target: ₹10,000 crore by FY28

Company reaffirmed its strategic objective to reach ₹10,000 crore AUM by 2028, requiring approximately ₹4,000 crore incremental disbursements annually from FY27 onwards.

growth

Disbursement Run-rate: ₹1,000 crore per Quarter from FY27

Starting from Q1 FY27, quarterly disbursements expected to rise to ₹750-800 crore initially, scaling to ₹1,000 crore+ per quarter by Q3 FY27 (festive season) as new products stabilize.

growth

ROA Target: 2% on Incremental Book

Management expects 2% ROA on the 15-16 month old incremental book through combination of higher yields (22.79% on new sourcing), lower cost of funds (reduced 84bps QoQ to 8.82%), and normalized impairment of 1.25%.

margins

Retail FD Book: ₹100 crore by FY26 Year-end

Company aims to grow retail fixed deposit book from current ₹67.28 crore to over ₹100 crore by March 2026, reducing reliance on higher-cost market borrowings.

growth