MONEYBOXX / bear-case history

Track the concerns that keep returning.

Moneyboxx Finance · risk themes across the available quarters.

Research layer active

Bear-case history

Risks carried through the record.

NIM compression from strategic shift to secured lending

NIM declined to 14% from 16.6% YoY as secured loans carry lower yields. Management expects blended yield of 23-24% going forward but any further compression could pressure profitability.

medium

Disbursement growth intentionally muted

Company received ~Rs 200 crore monthly in loan applications but disbursed only ~Rs 40 crore due to tightened onboarding norms. This voluntary restraint limits near-term AUM growth acceleration.

medium

Funding cost gap vs larger peers persists

Despite improvement, the company borrows at ~12.7% average cost vs larger NBFCs at ~9%, a 300+ bps gap. This structural disadvantage limits margin expansion unless credit rating improves.

high

Profitability volatility during transition

ROE remains below long-term aspiration this year. Analyst questioned whether the current business model delivers adequate risk-adjusted returns given volatile profit growth, despite improving asset quality metrics.

medium