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Kotak Mahindra Bank reported a 10% YoY rise in consolidated PAT to ₹4,700 crore, driven by strong capital markets performance in subsidiaries (Kotak Securities, AMC, Investment Banking) and stable NIM at 4.93%. Advances grew 15% YoY with secured retail and SME leading, while unsecured retail mix fell to 10.5% due to the RBI embargo on credit cards and digital banking. Asset quality showed mixed trends: personal loan delinquencies improved, credit card stress plateaued, but microfinance stress continued to rise. Management remains cautiously optimistic, targeting loan growth at 1.5-2x GDP and expects the embargo to lift eventually. Key risk: prolonged RBI restrictions could further constrain high-margin unsecured growth and deposit franchise.
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Guidance to track
- Management reiterated target to grow advances at 1.5 to 2 times nominal GDP growth, maintaining disciplined underwriting.
- The acquired Standard Chartered portfolio is expected to be fully migrated onto Kotak's books during Q4 FY25.
- Once the RBI embargo is lifted, the bank plans to aggressively grow credit cards and personal loans, aiming to restore unsecured mix.
- Management expects cost control measures and fee income growth to support ROA above 2% as credit costs normalize.
Risks flagged
- Management could not provide a timeline for lifting the embargo, which continues to restrict credit card issuance and digital onboarding.
- Microfinance delinquencies continue to rise; management expects stabilization only over the next two quarters, with potential for further slippages.
- Economic slowdown and volatility could lead to contagion in other portfolios, though no stress is currently visible in secured books.
- Kotak Prime (car finance) faces margin compression and higher delinquencies in two-wheelers, impacting subsidiary profitability.
Key quotes
- We will grow the business at about one and a half to two times normal GDP growth. And that continues to be the benchmark by which we will direct and manage this business.
- The conversations have been helpful, and they provided us guidance, which I'm very grateful for. It's very hard to predict at what stage the RBI will say, 'We're going to lift out of jail.'
- Our secured book, touch wood, is behaving very, very well. We don't anticipate any issues there.
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