KNRCON / guidance tracker

Keep management guidance in view.

KNR Constructions · forward-looking guidance across the available source record.

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Guidance tracker

What management said would happen.

Order Inflow Target: Rs 8,000-10,000 crore by FY26

Management targets Rs 5,000-6,000 crore from NHAI projects (expected to resume January 2025) and Rs 3,000-4,000 crore from state government projects including irrigation and EPC road contracts.

revenue

Revenue Guidance: Rs 800-900 crore in H2 FY26

Based on current order book execution pace and expected certification of irrigation unbilled work (Rs 300-350 crore in Q3-Q4), H2 revenues are guided at Rs 800-900 crore.

revenue

EBITDA Margin: 13-14% achievable at normalized execution

Current quarter margins impacted by one-off provisions (Rs 10 crore director remuneration, Rs 10 crore Kerala project provision). Target margin of 13-14% is achievable as execution normalizes.

margins

Mining Project Revenue: Rs 90 crore in FY27 (development phase)

Mining project with total value Rs 3,500 crore expected to commence execution in 9-12 months with initial development capex of Rs 90 crore. Revenue recognition will begin after 12-month development period.

revenue

FY27 Revenue Target: ₹2,000 crore

Based on existing executable order book of ₹4,300 crore (excluding delayed mining). Q4 FY26 expected to add only ~₹450 crore, implying sharp sequential decline from Q3.

revenue

FY28 Revenue Potential: ₹4,500 crore

Management expects recovery to ₹4,500 crore if new project awards materialize in FY27, given 6-8 months from award to execution start.

revenue

Order Inflow Target: ₹10,000-12,000 crore by September 2027

₹7,000-8,000 crore already bid (outcome awaited); ₹30,000-40,000 crore identified for future bidding across NHAI, state highways, irrigation, railways, and metro.

order_inflow

EBITDA Margin Outlook: 9-10% in FY27, ~13% in FY28

FY27 margins to remain compressed at 9-10% due to low execution (projects launching in Q3-Q4). FY28 expected to normalize to ~13% with full-year contribution from new projects.

margins