Sustained Import Surge and Net Importer Status
India became a net importer in Q1 with imports growing 22% QoQ and exports falling 16% QoQ. Imports from FTA countries like Japan, Russia, and China have increased despite safeguard duties in place.
JSW Steel · Material risks, their source context, and severity in the latest available quarter.
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India became a net importer in Q1 with imports growing 22% QoQ and exports falling 16% QoQ. Imports from FTA countries like Japan, Russia, and China have increased despite safeguard duties in place.
Long steel prices saw significant correction in Q1 with TMT spot prices declining 7,000-8,000 rupees/ton from Q1 beginning levels. Wire rod also corrected 750-1,000 rupees/ton. This impacts Q2 as well.
Coking coal prices increased ~$17/ton vs guidance of $12-15, with additional $20/ton impact from Middle East conflict (shipping, bunker costs). Gas prices also elevated. Q2 will see $12-15 further increase before moderating in Q3.
Retail sales experienced pressure due to higher imports and channel de-stocking. Additionally, monsoon typically impacts project activity and rural demand, though management expects H2 to be stronger seasonally.