JSWCEMENT Q2 FY26 earnings call.
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Revenue
₹1,436 Cr
verified against source
Revenue YoY
17%
reported change
EBITDA
₹268 Cr
latest reported figure
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record provenance
Actual signal trajectory
Where this quarter sits.
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What the record says.
JSW Cement delivered a strong Q2 FY26 with 17% revenue growth to ₹1,436 crore and 64% EBITDA growth to ₹268 crore, driven by 15% volume growth to 3.11 million tons significantly outpacing industry growth of 4-5%. EBITDA margin expanded 530bps YoY to 18.6%, with EBITDA per ton reaching ₹860 versus ₹524 last year. The outperformance stems from operational leverage, lower raw material costs (no third-party slag procurement in Q2), and blended fuel cost reduction to ₹1.5/mcf. Cost savings of ₹200/ton already achieved with another ₹200 targeted through Q4 and FY27, primarily from renewable energy ramp-up. H1 performance was robust with 12% revenue growth and 49% EBITDA growth, though monsoon and GST-related demand disruptions caused H1 volume shortfall. Net debt reduced substantially from ₹4,566 crore to ₹3,231 crore post-IPO proceeds deployment. The Nagore integrated unit on track for early Q4 FY26 commissioning will be a key FY27 margin driver. Management targets mid-teens volume growth for FY26, though revenue guidance was withheld pending pricing clarity amid competitive capacity additions. Key risks include cement realization softness (down 5.2% sequentially), northward competitor expansions in North India, and input cost volatility.
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Guidance to track
- Despite H1 shortfall from monsoon and GST disruptions, management is confident of achieving mid-teens volume growth over FY25, targeting approximately 15.5 million tons full year.
- The 3.3M clinker and 2.5M grinding integrated unit in Punjab is on track for early Q4 FY26, with an additional 1M ton grinding unit and WHRS to follow in mid-FY27.
- ₹200/ton already realized in Q2; remaining ₹200/ton to flow through Q4 FY26 and FY27, driven by renewable energy ramp-up to 63% green power by FY27 exit from current 22%.
- Q2 capex was ₹509 crore; H1 capex including maintenance was ₹964 crore. Total FY26 capex guidance of ₹2,300 crore with FY27 plan of ₹2,000 crore. Includes Nagore (₹3,350 crore project cost, ₹1,950 crore spent by Sept), Dolvi 4M expansion (₹1,600 crore), and Vijayagar (₹800 crore) for FY28.
Risks flagged
- Cement realization declined 5.2% sequentially to ₹4,638/ton in Q2. October saw marginal price dips in South and East. Management declined to provide revenue guidance citing pricing uncertainty, explicitly stating 'revenue guidance will be a challenge... it's a game of pricing.'
- When asked about achieving revenue of ₹6,600-6,800 crore, CFO responded 'We better not speak on that' and deferred to pricing dynamics. This evasive response suggests management lacks confidence in pricing outlook.
- Analyst raised concerns about capacity additions by competitors in the North market where JSW is entering with Nagore. While management cited positive pre-launch activities, the competitive intensity from established players in a new geography poses execution risk for the 55-60% Year-1 utilization target.
- East region degrew 3.1% in H1 while South grew 21% and West grew only 1%. Heavy monsoon impact on West (restricted to Mumbai metro) and persistent weakness in East creates geographic concentration risk if these regions remain depressed.
Key quotes
- Operating EBITDA for the quarter was rupees 267.5 crores. A very substantial 64% YoY improvement against a weak base last year. Our operating EBITDA margin stands at 18.6% in the quarter which is a jump of 5.3% over the same quarter last year.
- We are confident of achieving our H2 targets and therefore for FY26 we are now aiming for mid-teens percentage volume growth over FY25.
- Revenue guidance will be a challenge that's more dependent on the pricing. I think we better not speak on that. It's a game of pricing as you understand.
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