Geopolitical disruptions and input cost inflation
West Asia conflict and rupee depreciation are causing higher input and logistics costs; management expects 5-6% cost increase, with potential margin pressure.
Escorts Kubota · risk themes across the available quarters.
Bear-case history
West Asia conflict and rupee depreciation are causing higher input and logistics costs; management expects 5-6% cost increase, with potential margin pressure.
Forecast of below-normal monsoon and El Niño could dampen rural sentiment and farmer affordability, especially in H2 FY27.
Steel and other commodity prices up 7-8%, and labor costs increased 22-35% in key states; management uncertain about full pass-through to customers.
Industry grew 23% in FY26, creating a high base; H2 FY27 expected to see substantial degrowth, making full-year flattish guidance challenging.