CUB / guidance tracker

Keep management guidance in view.

City Union Bank · forward-looking guidance across the available source record.

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Guidance tracker

What management said would happen.

Advances growth 2-3% above industry

Management reiterated expectation of achieving credit growth 2-3 percentage points above system growth, with focus on maintaining MSME mix at 55-60% and gold loans at 31-32%.

growth

NIM range of 3.65-3.7%

NIM expected to compress by approximately 5 basis points from current 3.78% due to rising term deposit rates, before stabilizing as deposit repricing benefit kicks in.

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ROA target 1.55-1.65%

Exit ROA guidance of 1.6-1.65% with full-year ROA expected at current level of 1.55%+. Other income expected to grow from Rs 243 crores towards Rs 300-320 crores in Q4 FY27.

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Cost-to-income at 47-48%

C/I ratio guidance maintained at 47-48% for FY27 despite Q1 being at 45.42%, due to salary hikes effective July and branch expansion costs. Long-term aspiration to reach below 45%.

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Mid-to-high teen credit growth for FY27

Management expects loan growth of mid-to-high teens, 2-3% above industry, continuing the current trajectory.

growth

NIM stable around 3.9% with ±10bps band for Q4

NIM expected to remain in the range of 3.8% to 4.0% in Q4 FY26, with possible upward bias from deposit repricing.

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ROA to remain above 1.5%

Return on assets expected to stay at current levels of 1.5%+ for FY26.

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Cost-to-income ratio in 48-50% range for FY26

Management reiterated cost-to-income ratio guidance of 48-50% for the full year.

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